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Süper Lig
Referee: Ali Yilmaz
Antalyaspor
S T U T U
1–4
Full-time
Galatasaray
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 50%
27%
73%
Points per game
1,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
0,9
2,1
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,25 xG 1,44
37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antalyaspor 15. · Galatasaray 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 15 11 3 1 +21 +16.2 36
2 Trabzonspor 15 10 4 1 +14 +2.1 34
3 Fenerbahce 15 9 6 0 +18 +18.5 33
4 Goztep 15 7 5 3 +9 +3.8 26
5 Besiktas 15 7 4 4 +7 +15.4 25
6 Samsunspor 15 6 7 2 +6 +7.8 25
7 Gaziantep 15 6 5 4 -1 -1.8 23
8 Kocaelispor 15 5 4 6 -3 -1.4 19
9 Alanyaspor 16 3 9 4 -1 -4.0 18
10 Rizespor 16 4 6 6 -3 +1.4 18
11 Buyuksehyr 15 4 5 6 +3 -1.9 17
12 Konyaspor 15 4 4 7 -4 -2.7 16
13 Genclerbirligi 16 4 3 9 -4 -8.0 15
14 Kasimpasa 16 3 6 7 -7 -7.6 15
15 Antalyaspor 15 4 3 8 -11 -10.1 15
16 Kayserispor 16 2 8 6 -17 -10.3 14
17 Eyüpspor 16 3 4 9 -11 -6.5 13
18 Karagumruk 15 2 2 11 -16 -10.9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Galatasaray
7′
L. Sane 0–1
Y. Akgun
11′
R. Sallai 0–2
B. A. Yilmaz
Lautaro Giannetti 🟨
31′
D. Saric 🔁
↦ H. Turkmen
31′
Half-time 0–2
S. van de Streek 🔁
↦ N. Storm
46′
56′
V. Osimhen 0–3
Y. Akgun
67′
🔁 Gabriel Sara
↦ L. Torreira
67′
🔁 M. Icardi
↦ Y. Akgun
67′
🔁 A. Unyay
↦ D. Sanchez
1–3 S. van de Streek
69′
74′
🔁 K. Karatas
↦ I. Jakobs
82′
🔁 A. Kutucu
↦ B. A. Yilmaz
85′
🟨 Victor Osimhen
90′
M. Icardi 1–4
L. Sane
93′
🟨 Kazımcan Karataş
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

3-4-2-1
21 A. Yigiter G
89 V. Sari D
30 L. Giannetti D
4 H. Turkmen D
7 B. Balci M
23 J. Ceesay M
8 R. Safuri M
3 K. Paal M
11 S. Ballet F
26 N. Storm F
77 Y. Boli F
Bench (10)
96 K. Arican
2 S. Karakoc
5 B. Ozturk
6 S. Dikmen
20 H. Ilcin
22 S. van de Streek
27 E. B. Tivsiz
70 D. Sinik
88 D. Saric
99 P. Yildirim

Coach: Erol Bulut

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
19 G. Guvenc G
7 R. Sallai D
6 D. Sanchez D
42 A. Bardakci D
4 I. Jakobs D
20 I. Gundogan M
34 L. Torreira M
10 L. Sane M
11 Y. Akgun M
53 B. A. Yilmaz M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (9)
12 B. Sen
8 Gabriel Sara
9 M. Icardi
21 A. Kutucu
30 Y. Demir
33 G. Gurpuz
88 K. Karatas
91 A. Unyay
60 A. Yilmaz

Coach: Okan Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,11
U
5,13
B ✓
1,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,37
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.