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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hearts
S S U S S
1–3
Full-time
Rangers
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,8
This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 48%
32%
64%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
52%
60%
Both score Ø 48%
56%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
21 Shots 15
10 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 9
10 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 8. · Rangers 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 26 22 3 1 +64 69
2 Rangers 25 16 5 4 +32 53
3 Aberdeen 26 11 5 10 -5 38
4 Dundee United 26 10 7 9 +1 37
5 Hibernian 25 8 9 8 +0 33
6 Kilmarnock 26 8 7 11 -10 31
7 Motherwell 26 9 4 13 -15 31
8 Hearts 25 8 6 11 +1 30
9 St Mirren 25 9 3 13 -9 30
10 Ross County 26 7 8 11 -20 29
11 Dundee 26 7 6 13 -17 27
12 ST Johnstone 26 6 3 17 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Rangers
17′
🟨 Ianis Hagi
20′
J. McCart 1–0
own goal
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Steinwender
J. Penrice
49′
61′
V. Černý 2–1
Beni Baningime 🟨
66′
S. Kartum 🔁
↦ J. Grant
69′
C. Nieuwenhof 🔁
↦ B. Spittal
69′
71′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ T. Lawrence
L. Neilson 🔁
↦ M. Steinwender
72′
73′
J. McCart 3–1
own goal
77′
🔁 R. Pröpper
↦ J. Souttar
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ E. Kabangu
80′
M. Drammeh 🔁
↦ J. Wilson
80′
90′
🔁 Rafael Fernandes
↦ J. Tavernier
91′
🔁 F. Curtis
↦ I. Hagi
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,56
U
3,79
B ✓
1,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.