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Ligue 1

Referee: R Lissorgue

Rennes

T T T S S

0–2

Full-time

Lille

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

43%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

57%

52%

Both score Ø 55%

48%

62%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,46 xG 3,18

37% Possession 63%

4 Shots 18

0 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rennes 13. · Lille 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	22	17	5	0	+39	+37.5	56
2	Marseille	22	14	4	4	+24	+13.8	46
3	Nice	22	11	7	4	+17	+13.3	40
4	Monaco	22	12	4	6	+15	+23.1	40
5	Lyon	22	10	6	6	+13	+6.7	36
6	Lille	21	9	8	4	+12	+7.1	35
7	Strasbourg	22	9	6	7	+5	-4.9	33
8	Lens	22	9	6	7	+3	+7.0	33
9	Brest	22	10	2	10	-3	-9.6	32
10	Toulouse	22	7	6	9	-2	+6.8	27
11	Angers	22	7	5	10	-8	-7.6	26
12	Auxerre	22	6	7	9	-6	-12.7	25
13	Rennes	21	7	2	12	-1	+2.4	23
14	Reims	22	5	7	10	-8	-11.1	22
15	Nantes	22	4	9	9	-14	-11.8	21
16	St Etienne	22	5	3	14	-30	-28.2	18
17	Le Havre	22	5	2	15	-25	-15.1	17
18	Montpellier	22	4	3	15	-31	-16.7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	9	2	0	+22	+19.8	29
2	Monaco	12	8	2	2	+13	+17.2	26
3	Nice	10	7	3	0	+16	+9.4	24
4	Strasbourg	10	6	3	1	+8	+0.9	21
5	Lille	11	6	3	2	+7	+0.5	21
6	Lyon	10	6	2	2	+9	+6.9	20
7	Auxerre	11	5	5	1	+7	-0.6	20
8	Brest	11	6	2	3	+6	-0.7	20
9	Rennes	11	6	1	4	+10	+5.7	19
10	Marseille	11	5	4	2	+7	+11.4	19
11	St Etienne	10	5	1	4	+0	-2.1	16
12	Toulouse	12	4	3	5	+0	+4.0	15
13	Lens	11	4	2	5	-2	+4.7	14
14	Montpellier	12	3	3	6	-13	-4.2	12
15	Angers	11	3	2	6	-7	-7.1	11
16	Nantes	10	2	4	4	-3	-1.3	10
17	Reims	12	2	4	6	-6	-5.0	10
18	Le Havre	11	2	0	9	-18	-10.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	8	3	0	+17	+17.7	27
2	Marseille	11	9	0	2	+17	+2.5	27
3	Lens	11	5	4	2	+5	+2.3	19
4	Lyon	12	4	4	4	+4	-0.3	16
5	Nice	12	4	4	4	+1	+3.9	16
6	Angers	11	4	3	4	-1	-0.5	15
7	Lille	10	3	5	2	+5	+6.7	14
8	Monaco	10	4	2	4	+2	+5.8	14
9	Reims	10	3	3	4	-2	-6.1	12
10	Toulouse	10	3	3	4	-2	+2.8	12
11	Strasbourg	12	3	3	6	-3	-5.7	12
12	Brest	11	4	0	7	-9	-8.9	12
13	Le Havre	11	3	2	6	-7	-4.7	11
14	Nantes	12	2	5	5	-11	-10.5	11
15	Auxerre	11	1	2	8	-13	-12.0	5
16	Rennes	10	1	1	8	-11	-3.4	4
17	Montpellier	10	1	0	9	-18	-12.4	3
18	St Etienne	12	0	2	10	-30	-26.0	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.