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Pro League

Referee: B Put

Charleroi

S T U U U

0–1

Full-time

Anderlecht

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Anderlecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 47%

38%

56%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

31%

56%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,1

2,1

Conceded

0,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,51 xG 0,80

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 9. · Anderlecht 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	18	14	2	2	+17	+19.2	44
2	Club Brugge	17	11	5	1	+23	+19.8	38
3	Antwerp	16	10	5	1	+21	+2.2	35
4	St. Gilloise	18	9	6	3	+12	+17.0	33
5	Anderlecht	16	9	5	2	+21	+9.2	32
6	Gent	19	8	8	3	+15	+1.0	32
7	Dender	17	6	6	5	-1	-5.8	24
8	Cercle Brugge	20	6	6	8	-11	-5.6	24
9	Charleroi	16	6	5	5	+2	+2.9	23
10	Standard	16	6	4	6	-8	-7.0	22
11	Mechelen	18	5	4	9	-4	-3.4	19
12	St Truiden	22	4	6	12	-21	-11.2	18
13	Westerlo	17	4	3	10	-5	+0.3	15
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	2	8	7	-6	-2.5	14
15	Kortrijk	22	3	2	17	-30	-16.2	11
16	Beerschot VA	21	1	7	13	-25	-20.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	10	9	1	0	+15	+13.3	28
2	Club Brugge	8	6	2	0	+17	+14.4	20
3	Gent	9	6	2	1	+15	+4.0	20
4	Antwerp	8	6	1	1	+16	+4.7	19
5	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+11	+3.6	18
6	St. Gilloise	8	6	0	2	+7	+13.5	18
7	Standard	8	5	1	2	+3	-2.2	16
8	Cercle Brugge	9	4	3	2	-1	+0.8	15
9	St Truiden	12	3	6	3	-2	-1.0	15
10	Charleroi	8	4	2	2	+4	+3.6	14
11	Mechelen	9	3	3	3	+4	+1.4	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	2	6	1	+3	+3.1	12
13	Westerlo	9	3	2	4	+4	+9.2	11
14	Dender	8	2	3	3	+0	-1.9	9
15	Beerschot VA	10	1	6	3	-5	-6.7	9
16	Kortrijk	11	3	0	8	-9	-3.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	5	3	1	+6	+5.3	18
2	Antwerp	8	4	4	0	+5	-2.5	16
3	Genk	8	5	1	2	+2	+5.8	16
4	St. Gilloise	10	3	6	1	+5	+3.6	15
5	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
6	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.6	14
7	Gent	10	2	6	2	+0	-3.1	12
8	Charleroi	8	2	3	3	-2	-0.7	9
9	Cercle Brugge	11	2	3	6	-10	-6.4	9
10	Mechelen	9	2	1	6	-8	-4.7	7
11	Standard	8	1	3	4	-11	-4.9	6
12	Westerlo	8	1	1	6	-9	-8.9	4
13	St Truiden	10	1	0	9	-19	-10.1	3
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	0	2	6	-9	-5.6	2
15	Kortrijk	11	0	2	9	-21	-12.4	2
16	Beerschot VA	11	0	1	10	-20	-13.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.