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Süper Lig

Referee: A Kayatepe

Hatayspor

T U T T T

1–0

Full-time

Alanyaspor

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 19%

32%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

41%

Both score Ø 59%

68%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,24 xG 1,89

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 16

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Alanyaspor 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	22	19	3	0	+35	+24.0	60
2	Fenerbahce	22	17	3	2	+35	+28.3	54
3	Samsunspor	22	13	4	5	+13	+10.4	43
4	Eyüpspor	22	11	6	5	+14	+2.3	39
5	Besiktas	22	10	8	4	+11	+9.1	38
6	Goztep	22	10	5	7	+13	+14.2	35
7	Buyuksehyr	23	9	6	8	+8	+6.7	33
8	Kasimpasa	22	7	10	5	-2	-0.2	31
9	Trabzonspor	22	7	8	7	+10	-2.8	29
10	Gaziantep	22	8	5	9	-2	-6.3	29
11	Alanyaspor	22	7	7	8	-5	-3.6	28
12	Rizespor	22	8	3	11	-11	+3.7	27
13	Antalyaspor	23	7	6	10	-16	-11.3	27
14	Konyaspor	22	6	6	10	-7	-7.7	24
15	Sivasspor	23	6	5	12	-12	-16.0	23
16	Bodrumspor	23	5	5	13	-13	-4.7	20
17	Kayserispor	21	4	8	9	-19	-6.1	20
18	Hatayspor	22	1	7	14	-19	-17.0	10
19	Ad. Demirspor	23	2	3	18	-33	-23.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	10	2	0	+17	+17.2	32
2	Goztep	11	9	1	1	+19	+13.5	28
3	Fenerbahce	10	9	0	1	+15	+14.9	27
4	Trabzonspor	11	7	3	1	+17	+3.3	24
5	Gaziantep	12	7	3	2	+9	+0.7	24
6	Eyüpspor	10	7	2	1	+13	+4.4	23
7	Samsunspor	11	7	2	2	+10	+9.6	23
8	Besiktas	11	7	2	2	+6	+7.5	23
9	Buyuksehyr	12	6	4	2	+15	+8.4	22
10	Alanyaspor	11	5	3	3	+3	+3.8	18
11	Antalyaspor	11	5	3	3	-2	-3.7	18
12	Sivasspor	12	4	4	4	+1	-6.2	16
13	Rizespor	10	4	3	3	+0	+8.5	15
14	Konyaspor	10	3	5	2	+2	+1.9	14
15	Kasimpasa	11	3	4	4	-3	+3.7	13
16	Bodrumspor	11	3	3	5	+1	-0.8	12
17	Kayserispor	11	2	4	5	-10	-2.1	10
18	Hatayspor	12	1	5	6	-7	-7.0	8
19	Ad. Demirspor	12	1	1	10	-19	-10.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	9	1	0	+18	+6.8	28
2	Fenerbahce	12	8	3	1	+20	+13.4	27
3	Samsunspor	11	6	2	3	+3	+0.8	20
4	Kasimpasa	11	4	6	1	+1	-3.9	18
5	Eyüpspor	12	4	4	4	+1	-2.1	16
6	Besiktas	11	3	6	2	+5	+1.7	15
7	Rizespor	12	4	0	8	-11	-4.8	12
8	Buyuksehyr	11	3	2	6	-7	-1.7	11
9	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-8	-7.3	10
10	Konyaspor	12	3	1	8	-9	-9.6	10
11	Kayserispor	10	2	4	4	-9	-4.0	10
12	Antalyaspor	12	2	3	7	-14	-7.7	9
13	Bodrumspor	12	2	2	8	-14	-3.9	8
14	Goztep	11	1	4	6	-6	+0.8	7
15	Sivasspor	11	2	1	8	-13	-9.8	7
16	Trabzonspor	11	0	5	6	-7	-6.1	5
17	Gaziantep	10	1	2	7	-11	-7.0	5
18	Ad. Demirspor	11	1	2	8	-14	-12.4	5
19	Hatayspor	10	0	2	8	-12	-10.0	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.