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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Lens
S T S S T
0–2
Full-time
Strasbourg
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
43%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
29%
62%
Both score Ø 55%
38%
71%
Average goals
2,1
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,36 xG 2,35
56% Possession 44%
7 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lens 7. · Strasbourg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 22 17 5 0 +39 +37.5 56
2 Marseille 22 14 4 4 +24 +13.8 46
3 Monaco 22 12 4 6 +15 +23.1 40
4 Nice 21 10 7 4 +15 +12.6 37
5 Lyon 22 10 6 6 +13 +6.7 36
6 Lille 21 9 8 4 +12 +7.1 35
7 Lens 21 9 6 6 +5 +9.0 33
8 Brest 22 10 2 10 -3 -9.6 32
9 Strasbourg 21 8 6 7 +3 -6.9 30
10 Toulouse 22 7 6 9 -2 +6.8 27
11 Auxerre 22 6 7 9 -6 -12.7 25
12 Rennes 21 7 2 12 -1 +2.4 23
13 Angers 21 6 5 10 -9 -7.5 23
14 Reims 21 5 7 9 -7 -11.2 22
15 Nantes 22 4 9 9 -14 -11.8 21
16 St Etienne 22 5 3 14 -30 -28.2 18
17 Le Havre 21 5 2 14 -23 -14.4 17
18 Montpellier 22 4 3 15 -31 -16.7 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lens Strasbourg
Angelo Fulgini 🟨
4′
16′
🔁 A. Sylla
↦ A. Omobamidele
Half-time 0–0
Deiver Machado 🟨
57′
J. Agbonifo 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
65′
66′
🔁 D. Bakwa
↦ S. Nanasi
Deiver Machado 🟨
72′
Deiver Machado 🟥
72′
J. Bah 🔁
↦ A. Diouf
75′
81′
D. Bakwa 0–1
V. Barco
Neil El Aynaoui 🟨
86′
A. Zaroury 🔁
↦ R. Aguilar
86′
W. Saïd 🔁
↦ F. Sotoca
86′
87′
🔁 A. Ouattara
↦ Diego Moreira
87′
🔁 E. Sobol
↦ V. Barco
95′
🟨 Félix Lemaréchal
96′
E. Emegha 0–2
D. Bakwa
97′
🟨 Emanuel Emegha
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lens

4-2-3-1
16 H. Koffi G
2 R. Aguilar D
24 J. Gradit D
20 M. Sarr D
3 D. Machado D
23 N. El Aynaoui M
18 A. Diouf M
7 F. Sotoca M
28 A. Thomasson M
11 A. Fulgini M
8 M'Bala Nzola F
Bench (9)
25 J. Agbonifo
27 J. Bah
21 A. Zaroury
22 W. Saïd
50 A. Delplace
19 G. Koyalipou
15 H. Ojediran
26 N. Mendy
34 T. Pouilly

Coach: W. Still

Strasbourg

3-4-2-1
1 Đ. Petrović G
22 G. Doué D
2 A. Omobamidele D
23 M. Sarr D
7 Diego Moreira M
19 H. Diarra M
8 Andrey Santos M
32 V. Barco M
6 F. Lemaréchal F
15 S. Nanasi F
10 E. Emegha F
Bench (9)
5 A. Sylla
26 D. Bakwa
42 A. Ouattara
77 E. Sobol
14 S. Mara
17 P. Diong
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
30 K. Johnsson
39 S. El Mourabet

Coach: L. Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U
3,91
B ✓
4,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.