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Serie B
Referee: S Galipò
Palermo
S S T T U
2–2
Full-time
Mantova
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Mantova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 28%
32%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
36%
48%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
56%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 9. · Mantova 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 26 19 4 3 +33 61
2 Pisa 25 15 6 4 +17 51
3 Spezia 26 13 11 2 +23 50
4 Cremonese 26 11 8 7 +11 41
5 Catanzaro 26 8 15 3 +8 39
6 Juve Stabia 25 9 9 7 -1 36
7 Bari 26 7 13 6 +3 34
8 Cesena 25 9 6 10 -1 33
9 Palermo 25 8 7 10 +2 31
10 Modena 26 6 13 7 +0 31
11 Cittadella 26 8 7 11 -14 31
12 Carrarese 26 8 6 12 -9 30
13 Brescia 26 6 11 9 -5 29
14 Reggiana 25 7 7 11 -5 28
15 Sampdoria 26 6 10 10 -7 28
16 Mantova 25 6 10 9 -8 28
17 Sudtirol 26 8 4 14 -12 28
18 Cosenza 25 5 10 10 -7 25
19 Salernitana 26 6 7 13 -11 25
20 Frosinone 25 4 10 11 -17 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Oct -24 Mantova – Palermo 0–0

Match report

Palermo Mantova
7′
ℹ️ Davis Mensah
VAR: Penalty cancelled
1–0 V. Verre
J. Pohjanpalo
26′
Half-time 1–1
46′
D. Mensah 1–1
F. Artioli
57′
F. Brignani 1–2
S. Burrai
Salim Diakité 🟨
60′
N. Pierozzi 🔁
↦ K. Lund
60′
J. Le Douaron 🔁
↦ V. Verre
60′
62′
🔁 A. Debenedetti
↦ D. Mensah
67′
🟨 Salvatore Burrai
67′
🟨 Sebastien De Maio
2–2 J. Pohjanpalo
68′
Pietro Ceccaroni 🟥
69′
75′
🔁 T. Maggioni
↦ N. Radaelli
75′
🔁 F. Ruocco
↦ F. Artioli
79′
🟨 Simone Trimboli
J. Segre 🔁
↦ A. Blin
83′
A. Vasić 🔁
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
84′
88′
🔁 D. Wieser
↦ S. Burrai
88′
🔁 C. Bani
↦ M. Solini
95′
🟨 Cristiano Bani
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Palermo

3-4-2-1
12 E. Audero G
4 R. Baniya D
24 G. Magnani D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
23 S. Diakité M
28 A. Blin M
10 F. Ranocchia M
3 K. Lund M
26 V. Verre F
9 M. Brunori F
19 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (8)
27 N. Pierozzi
21 J. Le Douaron
8 J. Segre
14 A. Vasić
46 S. Sirigu
6 C. Gomes
25 A. Buttaro
1 S. Desplanches

Coach: A. Dionisi

Mantova

3-5-2
1 M. Festa G
13 F. Brignani D
87 S. De Maio D
4 M. Solini D
17 N. Radaelli M
21 S. Trimboli M
8 S. Burrai M
24 F. Artioli M
26 S. Giordano M
19 L. Mancuso F
7 D. Mensah F
Bench (12)
9 A. Debenedetti
27 T. Maggioni
18 F. Ruocco
10 D. Wieser
6 C. Bani
5 A. Redolfi
12 L. Sonzogni
20 G. Fedel
30 D. Bragantini
11 A. Fiori
14 F. Galuppini
36 F. Paoletti

Coach: D. Possanzini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,28
B
5,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Galipò · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.