Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ein Frankfurt
Holstein Kiel
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | +46 | +38.0 | 55 |
| 2 |
Leverkusen
|
22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | +22 | +19.4 | 47 |
| 3 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +18 | +10.0 | 39 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +7 | -6.3 | 37 |
| 5 |
Freiburg
|
22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | -7 | +0.2 | 36 |
| 6 |
Stuttgart
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +7 | +8.1 | 35 |
| 7 |
M'gladbach
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +3 | -5.1 | 34 |
| 8 |
Wolfsburg
|
22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | +9 | -2.1 | 33 |
| 9 |
Mainz
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +9 | -0.5 | 32 |
| 10 |
Werder Bremen
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -7 | -2.3 | 30 |
| 11 |
Dortmund
|
22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -1 | +4.9 | 29 |
| 12 |
Augsburg
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -11 | -8.3 | 28 |
| 13 |
Union Berlin
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -8 | -1.8 | 24 |
| 14 |
St Pauli
|
22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -7 | -6.4 | 21 |
| 15 |
Hoffenheim
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -16 | -10.2 | 21 |
| 16 |
Heidenheim
|
21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | -18 | -7.8 | 14 |
| 17 |
Bochum
|
22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -25 | -16.2 | 14 |
| 18 |
Holstein Kiel
|
21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -21 | -13.5 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. Trapp
G
N. Collins
D
A. Theate
D
R. Kristensen
M
H. Larsson
M
O. Højlund
M
N. Brown
M
M. Götze
F
C. Uzun
F
Coach: D. Toppmöller
T. Dähne
G
I. Nekić
D
D. Zec
D
N. Remberg
M
T. Becker
M
A. Gigović
M
P. Harres
F
F. Arp
F
Coach: M. Rapp
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
M'gladbach
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Wolfsburg
Roma
Ein Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Ferencvarosi TC
R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.