Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Le Havre
Nice
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | +39 | +37.5 | 56 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | +24 | +13.8 | 46 |
| 3 |
Monaco
|
22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | +15 | +23.1 | 40 |
| 4 |
Nice
|
21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | +15 | +12.6 | 37 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | +13 | +6.7 | 36 |
| 6 |
Lille
|
21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | +12 | +7.1 | 35 |
| 7 |
Lens
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +5 | +9.0 | 33 |
| 8 |
Brest
|
22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | -3 | -9.6 | 32 |
| 9 |
Strasbourg
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | +3 | -6.9 | 30 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | -2 | +6.8 | 27 |
| 11 |
Auxerre
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -6 | -12.7 | 25 |
| 12 |
Rennes
|
21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | -1 | +2.4 | 23 |
| 13 |
Angers
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -9 | -7.5 | 23 |
| 14 |
Reims
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -7 | -11.2 | 22 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -14 | -11.8 | 21 |
| 16 |
St Etienne
|
22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -30 | -28.2 | 18 |
| 17 |
Le Havre
|
21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | -23 | -14.4 | 17 |
| 18 |
Montpellier
|
22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -31 | -16.7 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Gorgelin
G
É. Youté
D
A. Sangante
D
Y. Zouaoui
D
J. Mwanga
M
A. Joujou
M
M. Diawara
M
Y. Kechta
M
I. Soumaré
M
Coach: D. Digard
M. Bard
D
J. Clauss
M
T. Louchet
M
B. Santamaría
M
A. Abdi
M
E. Guessand
F
M. Cho
F
Coach: F. Haise
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lille
Le Havre
Angers
Le Havre
Le Havre
Brest
Reims
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens
S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.