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Premiership
Referee: D McFarlane
Hibernian
S T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 26%
26%
26%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
63%
53%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
53%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
7 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hibernian 7. · Kilmarnock 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 17 15 2 0 +44 47
2 Rangers 17 11 2 4 +18 35
3 Aberdeen 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Dundee United 18 7 7 4 +7 28
5 St Mirren 19 8 3 8 -4 27
6 Motherwell 18 8 2 8 -8 26
7 Hibernian 19 5 6 8 -5 21
8 Kilmarnock 19 5 6 8 -12 21
9 Dundee 18 5 4 9 -6 19
10 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -18 18
11 Hearts 19 4 4 11 -8 16
12 ST Johnstone 19 4 2 13 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Sep -24 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–1 27. Jan -24 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 2–2 11. Nov -23 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 1–0 16. Sep -23 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 2–2 18. Feb -23 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–0

Match report

Hibernian Kilmarnock
1–0 N. Triantis ⚽
N. Cadden
25′
31′
🔁 R. Deas
↦ J. Wright
44′
🟨 Liam Polworth
Half-time 1–0
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 🔁
↦ J. Newell
46′
Hyeok-kyu Kwon 🟨
53′
59′
🟨 Danny Armstrong
63′
🟨 Danny Armstrong
63′
🟥 Danny Armstrong
J. Obita 🔁
↦ J. Iredale
68′
71′
🔁 I. Cameron
↦ B. Wales
71′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ K. Vassell
71′
🔁 K. Magennis
↦ L. Polworth
D. Gayle 🔁
↦ J. Hoilett
74′
93′
🔁 J. Burroughs
↦ D. Watson
95′
🟨 Bradley Lyons
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
13 J. Smith G
2 L. Miller D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
12 C. Cadden M
26 N. Triantis M
11 J. Newell M
19 N. Cadden M
32 J. Campbell F
10 M. Boyle F
23 J. Hoilett F
Bench (9)
18 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
21 J. Obita
34 D. Gayle
17 H. McKirdy
14 L. Amos
22 N. Moriah-Welsh
5 W. O'Hora
6 D. Levitt
1 J. Bursik

Coach: D. Gray

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
20 R. McCrorie G
8 B. Lyons D
4 J. Wright D
5 L. Mayo D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
12 D. Watson M
31 L. Polworth M
15 F. Murray M
9 K. Vassell F
24 B. Wales F
Bench (9)
6 R. Deas
18 I. Cameron
19 B. Anderson
16 K. Magennis
2 J. Burroughs
22 L. Donnelly
14 G. Mackay-Steven
1 K. O'Hara
7 R. McKenzie

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
🔒
U
3,69
🔒
B
3,90
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,72
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,06
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D McFarlane · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.