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Premiership

Referee: K Clancy

Hearts

T T S T U

2–1

Full-time

Aberdeen

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,2

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 45%

40%

49%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

63%

57%

Both score Ø 47%

51%

43%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%

30 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 4

12 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 4. · Aberdeen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	35	31	2	2	+77	95
2	Rangers	35	27	4	4	+51	85
3	Aberdeen	35	17	3	15	-1	54
4	Hearts	35	14	7	14	+5	49
5	Hibernian	35	14	6	15	-2	48
6	St Mirren	35	12	9	14	-12	45
7	Motherwell	35	12	7	16	+0	43
8	Livingston	35	12	6	17	-23	42
9	ST Johnstone	35	10	6	19	-21	36
10	Kilmarnock	35	9	7	19	-29	34
11	Ross County	35	9	6	20	-20	33
12	Dundee United	35	8	7	20	-25	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	18	16	2	0	+37	50
2	Celtic	17	16	1	0	+39	49
3	Aberdeen	18	12	2	4	+24	38
4	Hearts	17	11	1	5	+15	34
5	St Mirren	18	9	5	4	+5	32
6	Hibernian	17	9	3	5	+9	30
7	Kilmarnock	17	8	5	4	-1	29
8	Livingston	17	8	4	5	-1	28
9	Dundee United	18	6	2	10	-9	20
10	Motherwell	17	5	3	9	-4	18
11	Ross County	18	5	3	10	-8	18
12	ST Johnstone	18	4	4	10	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	18	15	1	2	+38	46
2	Rangers	17	11	2	4	+14	35
3	Motherwell	18	7	4	7	+4	25
4	ST Johnstone	17	6	2	9	-12	20
5	Hibernian	18	5	3	10	-11	18
6	Aberdeen	17	5	1	11	-25	16
7	Hearts	18	3	6	9	-10	15
8	Ross County	17	4	3	10	-12	15
9	Livingston	18	4	2	12	-22	14
10	St Mirren	17	3	4	10	-17	13
11	Dundee United	17	2	5	10	-16	11
12	Kilmarnock	18	1	2	15	-28	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.