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Premiership
Referee: C Scott
Dundee
U T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 33%
27%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
65%
43%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
51%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dundee 9. · Kilmarnock 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 28 6 3 +64 90
2 Rangers 37 27 3 7 +55 84
3 Hearts 37 20 7 10 +12 67
4 Kilmarnock 37 14 13 10 +2 55
5 Aberdeen 37 12 11 14 -4 47
6 St Mirren 37 13 8 16 -5 47
7 Hibernian 37 11 12 14 -7 45
8 Motherwell 37 10 13 14 -2 43
9 Dundee 37 10 11 16 -19 41
10 Ross County 37 8 10 19 -29 34
11 ST Johnstone 37 7 11 19 -26 32
12 Livingston 37 5 9 23 -41 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Mar -24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–2 30. Dec -23 Kilmarnock – Dundee 2–2 23. Sep -23 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–2 24. May -21 Kilmarnock – Dundee 1–2 20. May -21 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–1

Match report

Dundee Kilmarnock
24′
⚽ G. Mackay-Steven 0–1
M. Watkins
1–1 L. McCowan ⚽
S. Tiffoney
37′
Scott Tiffoney ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
39′
Half-time 1–1
D. Costelloe 🔁
↦ J. Mulligan
46′
46′
🔁 G. Stewart
↦ L. Polworth
49′
🟨 Joe Wright
59′
🔁 D. Armstrong
↦ G. Mackay-Steven
59′
🔁 I. Cameron
↦ M. Watkins
F. Robertson 🔁
↦ L. Cameron
62′
C. Main 🔁
↦ A. Bakayoko
70′
M. Boateng 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
70′
71′
🔁 J. Balagizi
↦ F. Murray
Curtis Main 🟨
72′
76′
🟨 Robbie Deas
84′
🟨 Robbie Deas
84′
🟥 Robbie Deas
R. Howley 🔁
↦ S. Tiffoney
85′
86′
🔁 D. Watson
↦ R. McKenzie
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dundee

4-1-3-2
22 J. McCracken G
6 J. McGhee D
29 A. Portales D
25 A. Donnelly D
3 O. Dodgson D
28 M. Sylla M
15 J. Mulligan M
10 L. Cameron M
17 L. McCowan M
9 A. Bakayoko F
7 S. Tiffoney F
Bench (9)
44 D. Costelloe
19 F. Robertson
8 C. Main
23 M. Boateng
21 R. Howley
26 M. Mellon
16 Z. Robinson
30 H. Sharp
4 R. Astley

Coach: T. Docherty

Kilmarnock

4-4-1-1
1 W. Dennis G
4 J. Wright D
6 R. Deas D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
39 G. Mackay-Steven M
22 L. Donnelly M
31 L. Polworth M
15 F. Murray M
7 R. McKenzie F
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
21 G. Stewart
11 D. Armstrong
18 I. Cameron
14 J. Balagizi
12 D. Watson
20 K. O'Hara
99 K. van Veen
9 K. Vassell
10 M. Kennedy

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
🔒
U ✓
3,40
🔒
B
2,40
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,81
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,98
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Scott · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.