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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Kilmarnock
T U S U T
2–3
Full-time
Rangers
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
This season — Premiership · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 48%
24%
71%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
48%
71%
Both score Ø 48%
43%
52%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

22% Possession 78%
10 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 11. · Rangers 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 22 20 1 1 +52 61
2 Rangers 21 15 4 2 +28 49
3 Hearts 22 11 5 6 +11 38
4 Livingston 21 9 4 8 -6 31
5 Aberdeen 22 9 2 11 -2 29
6 Hibernian 22 8 3 11 -8 27
7 St Mirren 21 7 6 8 -9 27
8 ST Johnstone 22 7 3 12 -10 24
9 Motherwell 21 5 5 11 -6 20
10 Dundee United 21 5 5 11 -12 20
11 Kilmarnock 21 5 5 11 -18 20
12 Ross County 22 4 5 13 -20 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Rangers
1–0 C. Stokes
D. Armstrong
6′
Alan Power 🟨
19′
23′
A. Morelos 1–1
F. Sakala
Danny Armstrong 🟨
35′
36′
🟨 Alfredo Morelos
B. Alston 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
37′
Half-time 1–2
51′
R. Kent 1–2
A. Morelos
55′
🟨 Ryan Kent
Danny Armstrong 🟨
59′
Danny Armstrong 🟥
59′
K. McInroy 🔁
↦ C. Doidge
64′
72′
A. Morelos 1–3
78′
🔁 M. Tillman
↦ A. Morelos
K. Lafferty 🔁
↦ K. Vassell
80′
S. Robinson 🔁
↦ C. Stokes
80′
83′
🔁 J. Sands
↦ G. Kamara
2–3 J. Wright
A. Taylor
85′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
20 S. Walker G
25 R. Alebiosu D
5 A. Taylor D
19 J. Wright D
6 C. Stokes D
11 D. Armstrong M
31 L. Polworth M
4 A. Power M
7 R. McKenzie M
23 K. Vassell F
26 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
8 B. Alston
21 K. McInroy
28 K. Lafferty
16 S. Robinson
15 F. Murray
18 C. Waters
1 Z. Hemming
14 J. Sanders
17 B. Lyons

Coach: D. McInnes

Rangers

4-2-3-1
33 J. McLaughlin G
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
26 B. Davies D
31 B. Barišić D
18 G. Kamara M
4 J. Lundstram M
30 F. Sakala M
37 S. Arfield M
14 R. Kent M
20 A. Morelos F
Bench (9)
71 M. Tillman
19 J. Sands
38 L. King
8 R. Jack
51 A. Lowry
29 C. McCann
44 A. Devine
23 S. Wright
1 A. McGregor

Coach: M. Beale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,47
U
5,14
B ✓
1,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.