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Pro League

Referee: B Staessens

RWD Molenbeek

T S S T U

2–1

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RWD Molenbeek Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

2,7

0,2

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 70%

40%

100%

Points per game

1,4

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

60%

25%

Both score Ø 43%

60%

25%

Average goals

3,6

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,6

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,6

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,05 xG 1,70

54% Possession 46%

10 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 5

18 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RWD Molenbeek 7. · Cercle Brugge 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	4	4	0	0	+6	+5.8	12
2	Club Brugge	5	3	1	1	+11	+7.6	10
3	Anderlecht	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.1	9
4	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+9	+0.8	7
5	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.5	7
6	Eupen	5	2	1	2	-3	-6.1	7
7	RWD Molenbeek	5	2	1	2	-8	-3.7	7
8	St. Gilloise	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.2	6
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.9	5
10	Genk	3	1	1	1	+3	+5.9	4
11	St Truiden	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.7	4
12	Charleroi	6	0	4	2	-3	-2.0	4
13	Standard	5	0	3	2	-2	-5.2	3
14	Westerlo	5	0	1	4	-6	-3.8	1
15	Kortrijk	5	0	1	4	-11	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.8	6
2	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
3	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
4	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+6	+3.6	4
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
6	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-3	-4.0	4
7	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+6	–	3
8	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
9	Charleroi	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.6	3
10	RWD Molenbeek	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
11	Kortrijk	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
12	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	+3.2	1
13	Standard	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.1	1
14	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
15	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+5	+4.0	6
2	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.2	6
3	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.8	4
4	St Truiden	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	4
5	RWD Molenbeek	3	1	1	1	-5	-1.1	4
6	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	Eupen	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
9	St. Gilloise	2	1	0	1	-3	+2.2	3
10	Standard	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
11	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
12	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
13	Charleroi	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.6	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.9	1
15	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-10	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.