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Süper Lig

Referee: C Aydın

Galatasaray

S S S S S

4–2

Full-time

Samsunspor

U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

0,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,17 xG 1,22

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Galatasaray 5. · Samsunspor 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rizespor	5	3	1	1	+2	+1.4	10
2	Fenerbahce	3	3	0	0	+4	+5.8	9
3	Kayserispor	5	2	3	0	+3	-0.6	9
4	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+0.5	8
5	Galatasaray	3	2	1	0	+5	+4.1	7
6	Besiktas	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.3	7
7	Hatayspor	4	1	3	0	+4	+0.4	6
8	Trabzonspor	4	2	0	2	+2	-1.7	6
9	Alanyaspor	4	1	3	0	+2	+1.6	6
10	Ad. Demirspor	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.6	5
11	Sivasspor	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.0	5
12	Kasimpasa	4	1	2	1	-3	+0.8	5
13	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.2	4
14	Antalyaspor	4	0	3	1	-1	+0.3	3
15	Pendikspor	4	0	3	1	-4	-2.8	3
16	İstanbulspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
17	Ankaragücü	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.7	2
18	Samsunspor	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.8	1
19	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-5	-0.2	0
20	Gaziantep	5	0	0	5	-10	-7.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Kayserispor	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.3	7
2	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.6	4
3	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
4	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.3	4
5	Rizespor	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
6	Kasimpasa	3	1	1	1	-3	+0.6	4
7	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.3	3
8	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.8	3
9	Ad. Demirspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
10	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.8	3
11	Hatayspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
12	Antalyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
13	Sivasspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
14	İstanbulspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
15	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
16	Karagumruk	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
17	Pendikspor	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.6	1
18	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
19	Buyuksehyr	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.1	0
20	Gaziantep	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
2	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
3	Hatayspor	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
4	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.9	4
5	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
6	Trabzonspor	2	1	0	1	+2	-2.4	3
7	Karagumruk	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
8	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
9	Sivasspor	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.0	3
10	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
11	Kayserispor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
12	Pendikspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
13	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
14	İstanbulspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
15	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
16	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
17	Samsunspor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
18	Antalyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
19	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
20	Gaziantep	3	0	0	3	-5	-5.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.