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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Motherwell
U S T T T
2–2
Full-time
St Mirren
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
40%
70%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 10
3 Blocked shots 7
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 6. · St Mirren 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 10 7 2 1 +9 23
2 Hearts 10 5 5 0 +9 20
3 Dundee United 10 6 2 2 +4 20
4 Celtic 10 6 1 3 +17 19
5 Hibernian 10 4 3 3 +2 15
6 Motherwell 10 4 2 4 -1 14
7 St Mirren 10 3 4 3 -5 13
8 Aberdeen 10 3 2 5 -2 11
9 Livingston 10 3 1 6 -6 10
10 ST Johnstone 10 2 3 5 -5 9
11 Dundee 11 1 4 6 -15 7
12 Ross County 11 1 3 7 -7 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell St Mirren
B. Mugabi 🔁
↦ J. Ojala
27′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Watt
S. Goss
48′
2–0 T. Watt
52′
M. O'Hara 🔁
↦ K. Woolery
65′
71′
🟨 Kyle McAllister
71′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ R. Flynn
74′
E. Brophy 2–1
C. Ronan
78′
E. Brophy 2–2
79′
🟨 Eamonn Brophy
J. Carroll 🔁
↦ C. Slattery
83′
83′
🔁 K. Dennis
↦ C. Main
89′
🔁 R. Tait
↦ K. McAllister
Sean Goss 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
14 J. Ojala D
2 S. O'Donnell D
23 L. Grimshaw M
19 N. McGinley D
21 S. Johansen D
27 S. Goss M
16 C. Slattery M
32 T. Watt F
7 K. Woolery F
29 C. Shields F
Bench (7)
5 B. Mugabi
8 M. O'Hara
3 J. Carroll
6 B. Maguire
12 S. Fox
9 K. van Veen
28 J. Roberts

Coach: G. Alexander

St Mirren

3-4-1-2
1 J. Alnwick G
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
3 S. Tanser M
5 C. McCarthy D
8 R. Flynn M
6 A. Power M
43 C. Ronan F
17 K. McAllister M
10 C. Main F
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (7)
11 G. Kiltie
20 K. Dennis
2 R. Tait
26 D. Lyness
23 L. Erwin
18 C. Dunne
44 M. Millar

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U ✓
3,18
B
2,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.