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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
ST Johnstone
T S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Hibernian
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — Premiership · 31/30 matches
Win Ø 38%
26%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
42%
40%
Both score Ø 39%
48%
30%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
6 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 8. · Hibernian 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 31 27 4 0 +65 85
2 Celtic 31 20 7 4 +42 67
3 Hibernian 30 15 7 8 +13 52
4 Aberdeen 31 13 9 9 +2 48
5 Livingston 30 11 7 12 +0 40
6 St Mirren 31 10 9 12 -5 39
7 Dundee United 31 8 11 12 -15 35
8 ST Johnstone 31 8 10 13 -8 34
9 Motherwell 31 8 8 15 -18 32
10 Ross County 30 7 5 18 -32 26
11 Kilmarnock 31 7 4 20 -16 25
12 Hamilton 30 6 7 17 -28 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Hibernian
1–0 L. Craig
16′
43′
🟨 Ryan Porteous
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 C. Doidge
↦ C. Cadden
C. Conway 🔁
↦ G. Melamed
57′
David Wotherspoon 🟨
67′
S. May 🔁
↦ C. Kane
72′
73′
🔁 J. Murphy
↦ J. Irvine
76′
🟨 Joe Newell
79′
🔁 M. Hallberg
↦ J. Newell
S. Tanser 🔁
↦ D. Wotherspoon
83′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 Z. Clark G
24 C. Booth M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
5 J. Kerr D
26 L. Craig M
10 D. Wotherspoon F
18 A. McCann M
11 M. O'Halloran M
17 G. Melamed F
9 C. Kane F
Bench (9)
7 C. Conway
14 S. May
3 S. Tanser
15 C. Gilmour
12 E. Parish
16 G. Middleton
2 J. Brown
40 S. Denham
46 A. Ferguson

Coach: C. Davidson

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 O. Marciano G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
13 A. Gogić M
27 C. Cadden M
5 R. Porteous D
25 J. Doig D
10 M. Boyle F
11 J. Newell M
36 J. Irvine M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
9 C. Doidge
18 J. Murphy
20 M. Hallberg
2 D. Gray
24 D. McGregor
23 S. Allan
8 D. Wright
33 M. Macey
16 L. Stevenson

Coach: J. Ross

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,74
U
3,04
B
2,70
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.