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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Hibernian
S U S T T
0–3
Full-time
Livingston
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 21/19 matches
Win Ø 43%
48%
37%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
47%
Both score Ø 43%
33%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

66% Possession 34%
5 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 4. · Livingston 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 22 20 2 0 +52 62
2 Celtic 19 13 4 2 +30 43
3 Aberdeen 19 11 5 3 +9 38
4 Hibernian 21 10 6 5 +10 36
5 Dundee United 21 6 7 8 -10 25
6 Livingston 19 7 3 9 -4 24
7 St Mirren 18 6 3 9 -7 21
8 Kilmarnock 20 6 2 12 -4 20
9 ST Johnstone 22 4 7 11 -12 19
10 Motherwell 19 4 5 10 -11 17
11 Ross County 22 4 5 13 -26 17
12 Hamilton 20 4 3 13 -27 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Livingston
7′
🟨 Scott Robinson
9′
J. Mullin 0–1
S. Robinson
16′
J. Guthrie 0–2
Half-time 0–3
47′
S. Robinson 0–3
J. Guthrie
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ A. Gogić
50′
J. Gullan 🔁
↦ C. Doidge
67′
J. Doig 🔁
↦ L. Stevenson
67′
74′
🔁 S. Lawson
↦ J. Mullin
75′
🔁 J. Serrano
↦ C. Sibbald
83′
🔁 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
↦ S. Robinson
D. Wright 🔁
↦ J. Gullan
88′
Joe Newell 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-1-4-1
33 D. Barnes G
16 L. Stevenson D
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
13 A. Gogić M
5 R. Porteous D
10 M. Boyle M
11 J. Newell M
14 S. Mallan M
9 C. Doidge F
15 K. Nisbet M
Bench (9)
18 J. Murphy
19 J. Gullan
25 J. Doig
8 D. Wright
22 S. McGinn
20 M. Hallberg
24 D. McGregor
2 D. Gray
30 C. Samson

Coach: J. Ross

Livingston

4-2-3-1
32 M. Stryjek G
25 E. Ambrose D
2 N. Devlin D
27 J. Guthrie D
3 C. Brown D
17 S. Robinson F
6 M. Bartley M
14 J. Mullin M
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald M
8 S. Pittman M
Bench (8)
33 S. Lawson
12 J. Serrano
9 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
11 A. Forrest
1 R. McCrorie
21 J. McMillan
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair
39 C. Pignatiello

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U
3,31
B ✓
3,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.