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Europa League
Referee: Ivan Kružliak
PAOK
T S U U U
1–2
Full-time
Celta
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 46%
42%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
50%
88%
Both score Ø 65%
42%
88%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,9
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,60 xG 1,20
58% Possession 42%
5 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 0
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Oct -25 Celta – PAOK 3–1

Match report

PAOK Celta
34′
⚽ I. Aspas 0–1
M. Roman
43′
⚽ W. Swedberg 0–2
I. Aspas
Half-time 0–2
61′
🔁 F. Jutgla
↦ B. Iglesias
61′
🔁 J. Rueda
↦ O. Mingueza
65′
🔁 H. Alvarez
↦ W. Swedberg
65′
🔁 F. Lopez
↦ I. Aspas
67′
🟨 Hugo Álvarez
G. Michailidis 🔁
↦ A. Vogliacco
67′
A. R. Baba 🔁
↦ G. Taylor
67′
D. Chatsidis 🔁
↦ M. Camara
67′
72′
🟨 Javier Rueda
1–2 A. Jeremejeff ⚽
A. Zivkovic
77′
86′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ M. Roman
Andrija Živković 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
99 A. Tsiftsis G
3 J. Kenny D
4 A. Vogliacco D
6 D. Lovren D
32 G. Taylor D
2 M. Camara M
27 M. Ozdoev M
14 A. Zivkovic M
20 C. Zafeiris M
11 Taison M
19 A. Jeremejeff F
Bench (11)
1 J. Pavlenka
41 D. Monastirlis
5 G. Michailidis
16 T. Kedziora
21 A. R. Baba
22 A. Bianco
25 K. Thymianis
35 J. Sanchez
39 D. Berdos
52 D. Chatsidis
56 A. Mythou

Coach: Razvan Lucescu

Celta

3-4-3
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
2 C. Starfelt D
20 M. Alonso D
5 S. Carreira M
16 M. Roman M
6 I. Moriba M
3 O. Mingueza M
10 I. Aspas F
7 B. Iglesias F
19 W. Swedberg F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
9 F. Jutgla
12 M. Fernandez
15 M. Vecino
17 J. Rueda
18 P. Duran
21 M. Ristic
23 H. Alvarez
24 C. Dominguez
29 Y. Lago
30 F. Lopez
39 J. El Abdellaoui

Coach: Claudio Giraldez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.