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Super League

Referee: A Diamantopoulos

AEK

S S U S T

3–0

Full-time

Larisa

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Larisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

This season — Super League · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 41%

47%

35%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

47%

55%

Both score Ø 54%

53%

55%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 4

4 Shots on target 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

11 Corners 3

22 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 3. · Larisa 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	14	5	0	+32	47
2	PAOK	20	13	5	2	+19	44
3	AEK	19	9	5	5	+9	32
4	OFI Crete	21	9	3	9	+6	30
5	Panathinaikos	21	7	8	6	-3	29
6	Atromitos	20	7	6	7	+0	27
7	Larisa	20	7	6	7	-1	27
8	Aris	18	6	8	4	+9	26
9	Aris Thessalonikis	18	6	8	4	+9	26
10	Xanthi	20	8	2	10	-8	26
11	Volos NFC	21	7	4	10	-16	25
12	Lamia	20	5	9	6	-9	24
13	Asteras Tripolis	19	5	3	11	-4	18
14	Panionios	20	3	4	13	-21	13
15	Panetolikos	20	1	6	13	-22	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	9	8	1	0	+17	25
2	PAOK	10	7	3	0	+13	24
3	OFI Crete	10	7	1	2	+12	22
4	AEK	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Aris	9	5	2	2	+11	17
6	Aris Thessalonikis	9	5	2	2	+11	17
7	Atromitos	11	4	5	2	+6	17
8	Volos NFC	10	5	2	3	+0	17
9	Panathinaikos	10	4	3	3	+3	15
10	Larisa	10	4	3	3	+2	15
11	Asteras Tripolis	9	4	2	3	+4	14
12	Xanthi	11	4	2	5	+0	14
13	Lamia	9	3	5	1	-1	14
14	Panionios	11	2	3	6	-3	9
15	Panetolikos	10	1	4	5	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	10	6	4	0	+15	22
2	PAOK	10	6	2	2	+6	20
3	Panathinaikos	11	3	5	3	-6	14
4	Larisa	10	3	3	4	-3	12
5	Xanthi	9	4	0	5	-8	12
6	AEK	9	3	2	4	-2	11
7	Atromitos	9	3	1	5	-6	10
8	Lamia	11	2	4	5	-8	10
9	Aris	9	1	6	2	-2	9
10	Aris Thessalonikis	9	1	6	2	-2	9
11	OFI Crete	11	2	2	7	-6	8
12	Volos NFC	11	2	2	7	-16	8
13	Asteras Tripolis	10	1	1	8	-8	4
14	Panionios	9	1	1	7	-18	4
15	Panetolikos	10	0	2	8	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.