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Super League

Referee: Miguel Nogueira

Olympiakos

S S S S T

2–1

Full-time

PAOK

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 67%

70%

64%

Points per game

2,2

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

73%

67%

Both score Ø 48%

48%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,3

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

9 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

4 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 3. · PAOK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	36	24	10	2	+46	82
2	Panathinaikos	35	24	5	6	+54	77
3	Olympiakos	33	23	3	7	+45	72
4	PAOK	33	21	5	7	+45	68
5	Aris Thessalonikis	32	14	6	12	+5	48
6	Aris	32	14	6	12	+5	48
7	Lamia	35	10	8	17	-29	38
8	OFI Crete	33	8	13	12	-13	37
9	Atromitos	33	8	13	12	-15	37
10	Asteras Tripolis	33	11	4	18	-16	37
11	Panserraikos	33	8	12	13	-18	36
12	Panetolikos	33	7	9	17	-22	30
13	Volos NFC	33	7	9	17	-24	30
14	Kifisia	33	5	12	16	-31	27
15	Giannina	33	3	11	19	-32	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	18	14	4	0	+29	46
2	Olympiakos	17	13	0	4	+30	39
3	Panathinaikos	17	12	3	2	+29	39
4	PAOK	17	11	3	3	+24	36
5	OFI Crete	17	8	6	3	+10	30
6	Aris Thessalonikis	16	9	3	4	+9	30
7	Aris	16	9	3	4	+9	30
8	Panserraikos	17	6	8	3	+2	26
9	Lamia	17	7	2	8	-12	23
10	Atromitos	17	5	7	5	-4	22
11	Asteras Tripolis	17	6	3	8	-8	21
12	Panetolikos	16	5	3	8	-9	18
13	Volos NFC	16	4	4	8	-8	16
14	Giannina	16	2	7	7	-9	13
15	Kifisia	16	2	7	7	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	18	12	2	4	+25	38
2	AEK	18	10	6	2	+17	36
3	Olympiakos	16	10	3	3	+15	33
4	PAOK	16	10	2	4	+21	32
5	Aris Thessalonikis	16	5	3	8	-4	18
6	Aris	16	5	3	8	-4	18
7	Asteras Tripolis	16	5	1	10	-8	16
8	Atromitos	16	3	6	7	-11	15
9	Lamia	18	3	6	9	-17	15
10	Volos NFC	17	3	5	9	-16	14
11	Kifisia	17	3	5	9	-21	14
12	Panetolikos	17	2	6	9	-13	12
13	Panserraikos	16	2	4	10	-20	10
14	Giannina	17	1	4	12	-23	7
15	OFI Crete	16	0	7	9	-23	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.