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Conference League
Referee: António Nobre
Panathinaikos
S T U U S
1–4
Full-time
Chelsea
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
4,2
Scored
0,8
3,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,18 xG 2,42
40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Panathinaikos Chelsea
22′
⚽ João Félix 0–1
M. Mudryk
Half-time 0–2
48′
⚽ M. Mudryk 0–2
Pedro Neto
55′
⚽ João Félix 0–3
M. Mudryk
Filip Mladenović 🟨
58′
59′
⚽ C. Nkunku 0–4
G. Vagiannidis 🔁
↦ F. Mladenović
60′
Tetê 🔁
↦ D. Mancini
60′
61′
🔁 Marc Guiu
↦ C. Nkunku
62′
🔁 T. George
↦ Pedro Neto
1–4 F. Pellistri ⚽
G. Vagiannidis
69′
A. Šporar 🔁
↦ A. Jeremejeff
70′
F. Đuričić 🔁
↦ F. Pellistri
70′
71′
🔁 C. Casadei
↦ E. Fernández
77′
🔁 C. Chukwuemeka
↦ K. Dewsbury-Hall
A. Bakasetas 🔁
↦ A. Ounahi
80′
92′
🟨 Axel Disasi
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
69 B. Drągowski G
27 G. Kotsiras D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
21 T. Jedvaj D
25 F. Mladenović D
20 N. Maksimović M
16 A. Gnezda Čerin M
17 D. Mancini M
8 A. Ounahi M
28 F. Pellistri M
29 A. Jeremejeff F
Bench (12)
2 G. Vagiannidis
10 Tetê
9 A. Šporar
31 F. Đuričić
11 A. Bakasetas
80 T. Dabizas
55 Willian Arão
1 Y. Lodygin
81 K. Lilo
30 A. Bregou
15 S. Ingason
26 E. Fikaj

Coach: D. Alonso

Chelsea

4-2-2-2
12 F. Jørgensen G
2 A. Disasi D
5 B. Badiashile D
40 Renato Veiga D
3 Marc Cucurella D
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
8 E. Fernández M
7 Pedro Neto M
10 M. Mudryk M
18 C. Nkunku F
14 João Félix F
Bench (11)
38 Marc Guiu
32 T. George
31 C. Casadei
17 C. Chukwuemeka
11 N. Madueke
4 T. Adarabioyo
76 S. Mheuka
47 L. Bergström
51 S. Rak-Sakyi
1 Robert Sánchez
19 J. Sancho

Coach: E. Maresca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.