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Super League
Referee: A Kulbakov
Panathinaikos
U U S T S
0–3
Full-time
PAOK
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
This season — Super League · 19/20 matches
Win Ø 67%
79%
55%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
21%
35%
Both score Ø 34%
32%
35%
Average goals
1,9
1,9
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
0,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 1. · PAOK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 19 15 3 1 +22 48
2 AEK 20 15 2 3 +31 47
3 Olympiakos 20 12 5 3 +22 41
4 PAOK 20 11 7 2 +16 40
5 Volos NFC 21 9 5 7 -9 32
6 Aris Thessalonikis 19 9 4 6 +14 31
7 Aris 19 9 4 6 +14 31
8 Atromitos 19 6 6 7 +0 24
9 Panetolikos 21 6 5 10 -6 23
10 OFI Crete 20 4 8 8 -7 20
11 Asteras Tripolis 21 3 9 9 -14 18
12 Giannina 20 4 6 10 -18 18
13 Levadeiakos 21 2 8 11 -15 14
14 Lamia 20 1 9 10 -28 12
15 Ionikos 20 1 5 14 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos PAOK
43′
🟨 Douglas Augusto
44′
Rubén Pérez 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–1
46′
A. Živković 1–1
I. Konstantelias
47′
🟨 Konstantinos Koulierakis
49′
🟨 Joan Sastre
52′
I. Konstantelias 1–2
Sebastián Palacios 🟨
56′
G. Vagiannidis 🔁
↦ G. Kotsiras
57′
T. Puchacz 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos
57′
E. Çokaj 🔁
↦ Rubén Pérez
61′
A. Šporar 🔁
↦ Bernard
61′
65′
🟨 Sverrir Ingi Ingason
70′
🔁 Taison
↦ K. Narey
73′
🔁 Tiago Dantas
↦ Douglas Augusto
73′
🔁 G. Kargas
↦ K. Koulierakis
Bart Schenkeveld 🟨
81′
F. Sánchez 🔁
↦ F. Ioannidis
82′
82′
🔁 D. Biseswar
↦ I. Konstantelias
83′
🔁 Brandon Thomas
↦ Nélson Oliveira
Bart Schenkeveld 🟨
91′
Bart Schenkeveld 🟥
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Brignoli G
27 G. Kotsiras D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
44 A. Poungouras D
3 Juan Carlos D
16 A. Čerin M
4 Rubén Pérez M
34 S. Palacios M
10 Bernard M
77 B. Verbič M
7 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
2 G. Vagiannidis
6 T. Puchacz
18 E. Çokaj
9 A. Šporar
14 F. Sánchez
70 Miguel Tavares
31 Z. Šarlija
12 Y. Lodygin
99 A. Kampetsis

Coach: I. Jovanović

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
4 S. Ingason D
59 K. Koulierakis D
55 Rafa Soares D
22 S. Schwab M
8 Douglas Augusto M
77 K. Narey M
65 I. Konstantelias M
14 A. Živković M
9 Nélson Oliveira F
Bench (9)
11 Taison
26 Tiago Dantas
2 G. Kargas
21 D. Biseswar
71 Brandon Thomas
31 André Ricardo
32 N. Ninua
20 Vieirinha
18 Ž. Živković

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
U
2,97
B ✓
3,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,69
U2,5
1,44
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Kulbakov · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.