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Super League
Referee: I Kružliak
PAOK
T T T T U
2–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — Super League · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 49%
46%
51%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
38%
36%
Both score Ø 36%
44%
28%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 3. · Panathinaikos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 39 27 8 4 +37 89
2 Panathinaikos 39 20 8 11 +30 68
3 PAOK 39 18 8 13 +20 62
4 Aris 36 18 8 10 +11 62
5 AEK 39 17 8 14 +13 59
6 Aris Thessalonikis 35 17 8 10 +8 59
7 Giannina 39 14 11 14 -1 53
8 Ionikos 35 13 9 13 +2 48
9 OFI Crete 35 11 13 11 -5 46
10 Volos NFC 35 11 10 14 +0 43
11 Asteras Tripolis 35 11 8 16 -7 41
12 Panetolikos 35 10 7 18 -22 37
13 Atromitos 35 8 9 18 -24 33
14 Lamia 35 6 9 20 -21 27
15 Apollon 35 4 12 19 -41 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Panathinaikos
1–0 S. Schwab
S. Ingason
14′
2–0 C. Akpom
21′
35′
🟨 Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
Half-time 2–0
A. Mitriță 🔁
↦ D. Biseswar
61′
Nélson Oliveira 🔁
↦ C. Akpom
62′
E. Mihaj 🔁
↦ S. Ingason
62′
62′
🔁 A. Poungouras
↦ B. Schenkeveld
62′
🔁 G. Vagiannidis
↦ M. Gaćinović
O. El Kaddouri 🔁
↦ Filipe Soares
71′
Vieirinha 🔁
↦ L. Lyratzis
72′
75′
🔁 G. Kotsiras
↦ T. Chatzigiovanis
75′
🔁 F. Macheda
↦ Maurício
81′
🟨 Federico Macheda
86′
🔁 Rubén Pérez
↦ D. Kourbelis
87′
🟨 Zvonimir Šarlija
91′
🟨 Federico Macheda
91′
🟥 Federico Macheda
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis goalkeeper
5 Fernando Varela central_de
4 S. Ingason central_de
16 Sidcley left_back
19 L. Lyratzis right_back
21 D. Biseswar left_winge
22 S. Schwab central_mi
50 Filipe Soares central_mi
51 C. Tsingaras central_mi
14 A. Živković right_wing
47 C. Akpom striker
Bench (9)
28 A. Mitriță
9 Nélson Oliveira
6 E. Mihaj
7 O. El Kaddouri
20 Vieirinha
11 Léo Jabá
29 A. Čolak
27 J. Kurtič
88 Ž. Živković

Coach: R. Lucescu

Panathinaikos

3-4-3
1 S. Dioudis goalkeeper
5 B. Schenkeveld central_de
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis left_winge
31 Z. Šarlija central_de
88 Maurício central_mi
21 D. Kourbelis central_de
50 M. Gaćinović right_wing
98 Mateus Vital striker
11 T. Chatzigiovanis striker
6 S. Alexandropoulos central_mi
10 Carlitos López striker
Bench (9)
44 A. Poungouras
2 G. Vagiannidis
27 G. Kotsiras
9 F. Macheda
17 Rubén Pérez
3 Juan Carlos
91 A. Brignoli
19 L. Villafáñez
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,22
U
3,05
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,39
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Kružliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.