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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Wajda

Legnica

T T S T T

2–2

Full-time

Korona Kielce

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legnica Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 26%

14%

38%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

71%

38%

Both score Ø 68%

86%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

15 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 22

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Legnica 17. · Korona Kielce 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	9	5	2	2	+10	17
2	Legia	8	5	2	1	+4	17
3	Pogon Szczecin	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Radomiak Radom	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	Cracovia	9	4	1	4	+3	13
6	Stal Mielec	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	Rakow	7	4	1	2	+2	13
8	Widzew Lodz	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	Slask Wroclaw	9	3	3	3	-4	12
10	Warta Poznan	9	3	2	4	-3	11
11	Lech Poznan	7	3	1	3	+1	10
12	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	4	2	+0	10
13	Piast Gliwice	8	3	1	4	+0	10
14	Korona Kielce	8	3	1	4	+0	10
15	Zaglebie	9	2	4	3	-4	10
16	Jagiellonia	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Legnica	7	1	1	5	-6	4
18	Lechia Gdansk	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Pogon Szczecin	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Legia	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Rakow	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Cracovia	5	3	0	2	+5	9
6	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	2	1	-1	8
7	Stal Mielec	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Piast Gliwice	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Widzew Lodz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Jagiellonia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Lech Poznan	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Korona Kielce	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Legnica	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Zaglebie	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Warta Poznan	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Wisla Plock	5	2	1	2	+3	7
3	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Widzew Lodz	5	2	1	2	+0	7
5	Legia	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Zaglebie	5	2	1	2	-3	7
7	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Korona Kielce	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Stal Mielec	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	2	0	+3	5
11	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Cracovia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Jagiellonia	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Legnica	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.