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Bundesliga
Referee: A Heiß
A. Lustenau
U S S T U
1–1
Full-time
LASK
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Lustenau LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
43%
71%
Points per game
1,6
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
71%
57%
Both score Ø 79%
71%
86%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
1,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match A. Lustenau 4. · LASK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 8 7 0 1 +18 21
2 LASK 7 5 2 0 +11 17
3 Sturm Graz 7 3 3 1 +5 12
4 A. Lustenau 7 3 2 2 -2 11
5 SK Rapid 7 3 1 3 -1 10
6 Austria Vienna 7 2 3 2 -2 9
7 Wolfsberger AC 8 2 2 4 -3 8
8 A. Klagenfurt 7 2 2 3 -3 8
9 Tirol 8 2 2 4 -4 8
10 Hartberg 6 2 1 3 -3 7
11 Ried 8 1 2 5 -7 5
12 Altach 8 1 2 5 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

A. Lustenau LASK
23′
K. Nakamura 0–1
E. Koulouris
30′
🟨 Filip Stojković
Jean Hugonet 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–1
65′
🟨 Thomas Goiginger
67′
🔁 S. Horvath
↦ R. Žulj
67′
🔁 H. Balić
↦ E. Koulouris
Y. Bellache 🔁
↦ C. Türkmen
68′
H. Koudossou 🔁
↦ Y. Diaby
68′
77′
🔁 F. Flecker
↦ T. Goiginger
A. Schmid 🔁
↦ F. Gmeiner
80′
1–1 L. Fridrikas
Bryan Teixeira
82′
83′
🟨 Filip Stojković
83′
🟥 Filip Stojković
86′
🟨 Branko Jovičić
Adriel 🔁
↦ L. Fridrikas
87′
87′
🔁 M. Potzmann
↦ K. Nakamura
T. Berger 🔁
↦ Bryan Teixeira
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

A. Lustenau

4-2-3-1
27 D. Schierl G
7 F. Gmeiner D
31 M. Maak D
5 J. Hugonet D
12 H. Guenouche D
23 P. Grabher M
8 C. Türkmen M
28 Anderson M
10 Bryan Teixeira M
22 Y. Diaby M
20 L. Fridrikas F
Bench (7)
69 Y. Bellache
14 H. Koudossou
18 A. Schmid
35 Adriel
4 T. Berger
13 A. Helac
6 D. Grujčić

Coach: M. Mader

LASK

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schlager G
22 F. Stojković D
5 P. Ziereis D
33 F. Luckeneder D
7 R. Renner D
18 B. Jovičić M
8 P. Michorl M
27 T. Goiginger M
10 R. Žulj M
38 K. Nakamura M
20 E. Koulouris F
Bench (7)
30 S. Horvath
14 H. Balić
29 F. Flecker
19 M. Potzmann
43 N. Čelić
39 N. Polster
34 J. Boller

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Heiß · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.