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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Rennes
S T S U S
5–0
Full-time
Auxerre
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 9. · Auxerre 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 7 6 1 0 +21 19
2 Marseille 7 6 1 0 +11 19
3 Lens 7 5 2 0 +9 17
4 Lorient 7 5 1 1 +3 16
5 Lyon 6 4 1 1 +8 13
6 Lille 7 3 1 3 -1 10
7 Clermont 7 3 1 3 -2 10
8 Montpellier 7 3 0 4 +3 9
9 Rennes 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Monaco 6 2 2 2 -3 8
11 Toulouse 7 2 2 3 -3 8
12 Nice 7 2 2 3 -3 8
13 Troyes 7 2 1 4 -4 7
14 Auxerre 6 2 1 3 -4 7
15 Nantes 7 1 3 3 -3 6
16 Reims 7 1 3 3 -4 6
17 Strasbourg 7 0 5 2 -2 5
18 Brest 7 1 2 4 -9 5
19 Angers 7 1 2 4 -10 5
20 Ajaccio 7 0 1 6 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Auxerre
1–0 K. Sulemana
3′
L. Ugochukwu 🔁
↦ B. Santamaría
12′
Joe Rodon 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
F. Tait 🔁
↦ K. Sulemana
46′
2–0 A. Gouiri
60′
64′
🔁 G. Perrin
↦ M. Autret
3–0 M. Terrier
68′
69′
🔁 G. Hein
↦ L. Sinayoko
B. Meling 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
74′
L. Majer 🔁
↦ D. Doué
74′
75′
🔁 R. Dugimont
↦ M. Niang
76′
🔁 Y. M'Changama
↦ B. Touré
4–0 F. Tait
S. Mandanda
78′
82′
🟨 Hamza Sakhi
M. Abline 🔁
↦ A. Truffert
83′
5–0 M. Abline
85′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
30 S. Mandanda G
27 H. Traoré D
2 J. Rodon D
5 A. Theate D
3 A. Truffert D
14 B. Bourigeaud M
33 D. Doué M
8 B. Santamaría M
10 K. Sulemana M
19 A. Gouiri F
7 M. Terrier F
Bench (9)
6 L. Ugochukwu
20 F. Tait
25 B. Meling
21 L. Majer
28 M. Abline
1 D. Alemdar
22 L. Assignon
18 J. Belocian
15 C. Wooh

Coach: B. Génésio

Auxerre

4-1-4-1
23 B. Costil G
26 P. Joly D
4 Jubal D
20 A. Coeff D
14 G. Mensah D
12 B. Touré M
17 L. Sinayoko M
22 H. Sakhi M
97 R. Raveloson M
29 M. Autret M
11 M. Niang F
Bench (9)
10 G. Perrin
7 G. Hein
21 R. Dugimont
6 Y. M'Changama
16 D. Léon
2 B. Pereira
32 D. Bain
18 K. Ruiz-Atil
3 Q. Bernard

Coach: J. Furlan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,87
B
7,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,31
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.