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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Varberg

U U U S T

2–0

Full-time

AIK

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Allsvenskan · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

24%

52%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 43%

38%

48%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

15 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varberg 13. · AIK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	22	13	6	3	+27	45
2	Hacken	21	13	6	2	+22	45
3	Hammarby	22	12	5	5	+23	41
4	AIK	21	11	6	4	+10	39
5	Goteborg	21	11	3	7	+12	36
6	Kalmar	21	11	3	7	+7	36
7	Malmo FF	21	10	4	7	+8	34
8	Mjallby	22	8	8	6	+0	32
9	Elfsborg	22	7	9	6	+9	30
10	Sirius	22	7	4	11	-10	25
11	Varnamo	22	6	7	9	-11	25
12	Norrkoping	21	6	6	9	-2	24
13	Varberg	21	5	6	10	-17	21
14	Degerfors	22	4	5	13	-23	17
15	Helsingborg	21	3	5	13	-17	14
16	Sundsvall	22	3	1	18	-38	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	10	9	1	0	+23	28
2	Hammarby	12	7	4	1	+18	25
3	Kalmar	11	8	1	2	+8	25
4	AIK	11	7	3	1	+10	24
5	Hacken	11	7	2	2	+13	23
6	Malmo FF	10	7	1	2	+12	22
7	Elfsborg	10	5	4	1	+9	19
8	Goteborg	10	5	3	2	+7	18
9	Mjallby	11	4	5	2	+2	17
10	Sirius	11	5	0	6	-1	15
11	Norrkoping	11	4	2	5	+3	14
12	Varnamo	10	3	5	2	+2	14
13	Degerfors	11	3	4	4	-6	13
14	Varberg	11	3	4	4	-6	13
15	Helsingborg	11	2	3	6	-7	9
16	Sundsvall	11	3	0	8	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	10	6	4	0	+9	22
2	Goteborg	11	6	0	5	+5	18
3	Djurgarden	12	4	5	3	+4	17
4	Hammarby	10	5	1	4	+5	16
5	AIK	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	Mjallby	11	4	3	4	-2	15
7	Malmo FF	11	3	3	5	-4	12
8	Elfsborg	12	2	5	5	+0	11
9	Kalmar	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Varnamo	12	3	2	7	-13	11
11	Norrkoping	10	2	4	4	-5	10
12	Sirius	11	2	4	5	-9	10
13	Varberg	10	2	2	6	-11	8
14	Helsingborg	10	1	2	7	-10	5
15	Degerfors	11	1	1	9	-17	4
16	Sundsvall	11	0	1	10	-23	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.