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Super League
Referee: S Vinčić
PAOK
U T S U S
2–2
Full-time
AEK
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Super League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 62%
56%
67%
Points per game
1,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
7 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 24
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 5. · AEK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 19 16 3 0 +39 51
2 AEK 18 12 3 3 +12 39
3 Aris Thessalonikis 18 11 3 4 +12 36
4 Aris 18 11 3 4 +12 36
5 PAOK 18 10 5 3 +16 35
6 Panathinaikos 20 10 4 6 +8 34
7 Asteras Tripolis 19 7 6 6 -2 27
8 Volos NFC 20 5 8 7 -8 23
9 Atromitos 19 5 7 7 -7 22
10 OFI Crete 19 5 4 10 -13 19
11 Apollon 19 5 3 11 -6 18
12 Giannina 20 3 8 9 -6 17
13 Panetolikos 19 2 6 11 -14 12
14 Lamia 18 2 4 12 -21 10
15 Larisa 18 1 5 12 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK AEK
Omar El Kaddouri 🟨
-4′
Sverrir Ingi Ingason 🟨
12′
18′
Y. Shakhov 0–1
L. Garcia
38′
🟨 Marko Livaja
40′
🟨 Michalis Bakakis
1–1 José Crespo
40′
Half-time 1–1
Rodrigo Alves 🔁
↦ A. Pereira
46′
50′
K. Galanopoulos 1–2
Christos Tzolis 🟨
57′
2–2 Vieirinha
A. Živković
70′
71′
🔁 D. Szymański
↦ P. Mandalos
71′
🔁 K. Ansarifard
↦ M. Livaja
Douglas 🔁
↦ A. Živković
73′
Amr Warda 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Hélder Lopes
K. Świderski 🔁
↦ M. Krmenčík
83′
Fernando Varela 🔁
↦ José Crespo
83′
T. Murg 🔁
↦ Amr Warda
86′
86′
🔁 D. Chygrynskiy
↦ Ž. Laci
87′
🔁 M. Tankovic
↦ Y. Shakhov
96′
🔁 Emanuel Insúa
↦ L. Garcia
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
88 Ž. Živković G
15 José Crespo D
4 S. Ingason D
16 A. Pereira D
20 Vieirinha M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
22 S. Schwab M
14 A. Živković F
8 Amr Warda F
27 M. Krmenčík F
11 C. Tzolis F
Bench (9)
2 Rodrigo Alves
33 Douglas
9 K. Świderski
5 Fernando Varela
10 T. Murg
32 N. Ninua
31 A. Paschalakis
51 T. Tsiggaras
97 L. Lamprou

Coach: P. García

AEK

4-3-2-1
30 G. Athanasiadis G
2 M. Bakakis D
3 Hélder Lopes D
24 E. Svarnas D
15 Ž. Laci D
28 Y. Shakhov M
20 P. Mandalos M
8 André Simões M
25 K. Galanopoulos M
10 M. Livaja F
9 L. Garcia F
Bench (9)
4 D. Szymański
11 K. Ansarifard
19 D. Chygrynskiy
17 M. Tankovic
22 Emanuel Insúa
18 Nélson Oliveira
37 V. Radonja
1 P. Tsintotas
14 C. Albanis

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U ✓
3,30
B
3,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.