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Super League

Referee: I Peljto

AEK

S S S U T

1–2

Full-time

PAOK

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,7

1,5

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Super League · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 50%

51%

49%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

49%

54%

Both score Ø 53%

54%

51%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

10 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 3. · PAOK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	37	28	7	2	+61	91
2	PAOK	35	17	11	7	+25	62
3	AEK	35	18	7	10	+9	61
4	Aris Thessalonikis	33	17	8	8	+17	59
5	Aris	33	17	8	8	+17	59
6	Panathinaikos	36	15	10	11	+10	55
7	Asteras Tripolis	37	12	14	11	-5	50
8	Volos NFC	33	9	13	11	-7	40
9	Giannina	33	9	10	14	-5	37
10	Lamia	33	8	11	14	-20	35
11	Atromitos	33	6	14	13	-16	32
12	Apollon	33	8	7	18	-14	31
13	OFI Crete	33	7	7	19	-23	28
14	Panetolikos	33	6	10	17	-23	28
15	Larisa	33	5	9	19	-26	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	17	2	0	+39	53
2	PAOK	17	10	7	0	+23	37
3	Asteras Tripolis	18	8	7	3	+4	31
4	Aris Thessalonikis	17	9	3	5	+8	30
5	Aris	17	9	3	5	+8	30
6	Panathinaikos	18	8	5	5	+8	29
7	AEK	17	7	5	5	+2	26
8	Volos NFC	17	5	6	6	-2	21
9	Atromitos	17	4	8	5	-2	20
10	Panetolikos	16	5	3	8	-7	18
11	Lamia	16	4	6	6	-7	18
12	Giannina	17	4	5	8	-5	17
13	Apollon	17	4	3	10	-9	15
14	OFI Crete	16	3	4	9	-14	13
15	Larisa	16	1	6	9	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	18	11	5	2	+22	38
2	AEK	18	11	2	5	+7	35
3	Aris Thessalonikis	16	8	5	3	+9	29
4	Aris	16	8	5	3	+9	29
5	Panathinaikos	18	7	5	6	+2	26
6	PAOK	18	7	4	7	+2	25
7	Giannina	16	5	5	6	+0	20
8	Volos NFC	16	4	7	5	-5	19
9	Asteras Tripolis	19	4	7	8	-9	19
10	Lamia	17	4	5	8	-13	17
11	Apollon	16	4	4	8	-5	16
12	OFI Crete	17	4	3	10	-9	15
13	Larisa	17	4	3	10	-11	15
14	Atromitos	16	2	6	8	-14	12
15	Panetolikos	17	1	7	9	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.