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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Kol
Buyuksehyr
T S U S S
2–1
Full-time
Karagumruk
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Buyuksehyr Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
35%
12%
Points per game
1,4
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,6
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,00 xG 0,65
62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
0 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Buyuksehyr 7. · Karagumruk 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 17 13 3 1 +27 +19.0 42
2 Fenerbahce 17 11 6 0 +25 +21.5 39
3 Trabzonspor 17 10 5 2 +13 +2.5 35
4 Goztep 17 9 5 3 +12 +3.4 32
5 Besiktas 17 8 5 4 +8 +16.1 29
6 Samsunspor 17 6 7 4 +2 +6.9 25
7 Buyuksehyr 17 6 5 6 +9 -0.7 23
8 Kocaelispor 17 6 5 6 -2 -0.8 23
9 Gaziantep 17 6 5 6 -6 -1.6 23
10 Alanyaspor 17 4 9 4 +1 -3.4 21
11 Genclerbirligi 17 5 3 9 -3 -8.4 18
12 Rizespor 17 4 6 7 -4 +0.8 18
13 Konyaspor 17 4 5 8 -8 -6.1 17
14 Kasimpasa 17 3 6 8 -10 -10.3 15
15 Antalyaspor 17 4 3 10 -15 -10.7 15
16 Kayserispor 17 2 9 6 -17 -9.2 15
17 Eyüpspor 17 3 4 10 -14 -7.2 13
18 Karagumruk 17 2 3 12 -18 -11.6 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Buyuksehyr Karagumruk
1–0 E. Shomurodov
C. Operi
15′
Nuno Da Costa 🟨
29′
42′
🟨 Matías Kranevitter
Abbosbek Fayzullaev 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
D. Selke 🔁
↦ N. Da Costa
46′
I. Brnic 🔁
↦ A. Fayzullaev
57′
57′
🔁 T. Ahmed
↦ Serginho
67′
🔁 M. Doh
↦ S. Larsson
75′
D. D. Fofana 1–1
B. Kalayci
B. Yildirim 🔁
↦ O. Kemen
81′
84′
🔁 T. Cukur
↦ B. Ozcan
2–1 O. Sahiner
87′
89′
🟨 Jure Balkovec
O. Ergun 🔁
↦ E. Shomurodov
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Buyuksehyr

4-2-3-1
16 M. Sengezer G
42 O. Sahiner D
5 L. Duarte D
3 J. Opoku D
21 C. Operi D
8 O. Kemen M
20 U. Gunes M
11 A. Fayzullaev M
14 E. Shomurodov M
25 A. Harit M
10 N. Da Costa F
Bench (10)
80 D. Alemdar
4 O. Ergun
2 B. Ozdemir
15 H. Gureler
6 O. Bulut
18 J. Kaluzinski
91 B. Yildirim
77 I. Brnic
27 O. Ba
9 D. Selke

Coach: Nuri Sahin

Karagumruk

4-2-3-1
13 I. Grbic G
47 R. Esgaio D
32 M. Kadioglu D
29 J. Balkovec D
33 C. Kurukalip D
5 M. Kranevitter M
8 B. Ozcan M
70 Serginho M
23 S. Larsson M
72 B. Kalayci M
19 D. D. Fofana F
Bench (10)
99 F. Beklevic
11 D. Johnson
14 M. Doh
15 Kone
17 A. Sivri
20 T. Kalpakli
21 T. Cukur
24 B. Ersoy
88 T. Ahmed
94 A. Cinar

Coach: Onur Korkmaz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
U
4,23
B
6,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Kol · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.