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Süper Lig
Referee: A Karaoglan
Karagumruk
T T U T T
1–3
Full-time
Galatasaray
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
11%
72%
Points per game
0,5
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
44%
61%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,53 xG 1,40
36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
7 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 18. · Galatasaray 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 18 13 4 1 +27 +19.6 43
2 Fenerbahce 18 12 6 0 +26 +23.1 42
3 Trabzonspor 19 12 5 2 +15 +1.7 41
4 Goztep 18 10 5 3 +14 +3.4 35
5 Besiktas 18 9 5 4 +9 +17.1 32
6 Buyuksehyr 19 8 5 6 +13 +1.8 29
7 Samsunspor 19 6 9 4 +2 +7.6 27
8 Kocaelispor 19 6 6 7 -3 -0.3 24
9 Gaziantep 18 6 6 6 -6 -2.1 24
10 Alanyaspor 18 4 9 5 +0 -5.1 21
11 Genclerbirligi 18 5 4 9 -3 -8.7 19
12 Rizespor 18 4 6 8 -6 +0.8 18
13 Konyaspor 18 4 6 8 -8 -4.5 18
14 Kasimpasa 19 3 7 9 -11 -10.0 16
15 Antalyaspor 18 4 4 10 -15 -11.1 16
16 Kayserispor 19 2 9 8 -21 -11.4 15
17 Eyüpspor 18 3 5 10 -14 -8.9 14
18 Karagumruk 18 2 3 13 -19 -13.0 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Galatasaray
1′
Gabriel Sara 0–1
I. Gundogan
23′
🟨 Ismail Jakobs
1–1 B. Kalayci
Serginho
27′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Lemina
↦ L. Torreira
51′
Gabriel Sara 1–2
R. Sallai
55′
V. Osimhen 1–3
I. Gundogan
B. Elmaz 🔁
↦ M. Doh
64′
A. Sivri 🔁
↦ T. Ahmed
64′
T. Cukur 🔁
↦ Serginho
64′
64′
🔁 E. Elmali
↦ Y. Akgun
64′
🔁 K. Karatas
↦ I. Jakobs
68′
🟨 Barış Alper Yılmaz
70′
🔁 M. Icardi
↦ R. Sallai
Kone 🔁
↦ S. Larsson
77′
79′
🔁 K. Ayhan
↦ V. Osimhen
T. Kalpakli 🔁
↦ B. Kalayci
85′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-4-2
13 I. Grbic G
47 R. Esgaio D
4 D. Biraschi D
29 J. Balkovec D
33 C. Kurukalip D
88 T. Ahmed M
14 M. Doh M
8 B. Ozcan M
72 B. Kalayci M
23 S. Larsson F
70 Serginho F
Bench (10)
99 F. Beklevic
6 B. Elmaz
11 D. Johnson
15 Kone
17 A. Sivri
20 T. Kalpakli
21 T. Cukur
24 B. Ersoy
32 M. Kadioglu
94 A. Cinar

Coach: Onur Korkmaz

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 U. Cakir G
7 R. Sallai D
6 D. Sanchez D
42 A. Bardakci D
4 I. Jakobs D
20 I. Gundogan M
34 L. Torreira M
11 Y. Akgun M
8 Gabriel Sara M
53 B. A. Yilmaz M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (10)
19 G. Guvenc
12 B. Sen
9 M. Icardi
10 L. Sane
17 E. Elmali
21 A. Kutucu
23 K. Ayhan
33 G. Gurpuz
88 K. Karatas
99 M. Lemina

Coach: Okan Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,90
U
5,30
B ✓
1,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Karaoglan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.