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Süper Lig

Referee: Sarper Barıs Saka

Goztep

U S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 34%

29%

38%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

43%

62%

Both score Ø 67%

64%

69%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 8

4 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Goztep 11. · Karagumruk 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	14	8	3	3	+14	27
2	Galatasaray	13	8	2	3	+13	26
3	Fenerbahce	14	8	2	4	+7	26
4	Besiktas	13	8	1	4	+7	25
5	Gaziantep	13	6	6	1	+9	24
6	Hatayspor	13	6	3	4	-2	21
7	Karagumruk	13	5	5	3	+6	20
8	Yeni Malatyaspor	13	5	5	3	+3	20
9	Trabzonspor	14	5	5	4	-1	20
10	Konyaspor	13	5	3	5	+4	18
11	Goztep	14	4	6	4	+3	18
12	Rizespor	13	5	3	5	-2	18
13	Kasimpasa	14	5	3	6	-5	18
14	Sivasspor	13	4	5	4	+0	17
15	Antalyaspor	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Buyuksehyr	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Denizlispor	13	3	3	7	-9	12
18	Genclerbirligi	13	3	3	7	-10	12
19	Kayserispor	13	2	4	7	-9	10
20	Ankaragücü	13	2	3	8	-7	9
21	Erzurumspor	14	2	3	9	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Karagumruk	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Hatayspor	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Galatasaray	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Yeni Malatyaspor	6	4	2	0	+6	14
6	Kasimpasa	7	4	2	1	+2	14
7	Besiktas	6	4	1	1	+8	13
8	Antalyaspor	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Rizespor	7	4	1	2	+0	13
10	Gaziantep	6	3	3	0	+5	12
11	Goztep	7	3	2	2	+5	11
12	Konyaspor	6	3	1	2	+4	10
13	Fenerbahce	7	3	1	3	+0	10
14	Trabzonspor	7	3	1	3	-1	10
15	Buyuksehyr	6	2	2	2	+2	8
16	Ankaragücü	7	2	1	4	-1	7
17	Genclerbirligi	6	1	3	2	-4	6
18	Denizlispor	6	1	2	3	-3	5
19	Sivasspor	7	1	2	4	-4	5
20	Kayserispor	7	1	2	4	-5	5
21	Erzurumspor	7	0	3	4	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	Galatasaray	6	4	0	2	+6	12
3	Gaziantep	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Sivasspor	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Besiktas	7	4	0	3	-1	12
6	Alanyaspor	7	3	1	3	+2	10
7	Trabzonspor	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Goztep	7	1	4	2	-2	7
10	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	-5	7
11	Denizlispor	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Hatayspor	6	2	1	3	-9	7
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Genclerbirligi	7	2	0	5	-6	6
15	Erzurumspor	7	2	0	5	-11	6
16	Rizespor	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Kayserispor	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Antalyaspor	7	0	4	3	-6	4
19	Kasimpasa	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Karagumruk	6	0	3	3	-5	3
21	Ankaragücü	6	0	2	4	-6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.