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Süper Lig

Referee: A D Kayatepe

Alanyaspor

U T U U U

2–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,2

2,0

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 16%

19%

13%

Points per game

1,1

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

31%

44%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,82 xG 0,25

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alanyaspor 10. · Karagumruk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	17	11	6	0	+25	+21.5	39
2	Galatasaray	16	12	3	1	+24	+16.4	39
3	Trabzonspor	16	10	5	1	+14	+2.1	35
4	Goztep	16	8	5	3	+10	+2.8	29
5	Besiktas	17	8	5	4	+8	+16.1	29
6	Samsunspor	16	6	7	3	+4	+7.5	25
7	Gaziantep	16	6	5	5	-2	-0.7	23
8	Kocaelispor	17	6	5	6	-2	-0.8	23
9	Buyuksehyr	16	5	5	6	+5	-1.6	20
10	Alanyaspor	16	3	9	4	-1	-4.0	18
11	Rizespor	17	4	6	7	-4	+0.8	18
12	Konyaspor	17	4	5	8	-8	-6.1	17
13	Genclerbirligi	16	4	3	9	-4	-8.0	15
14	Kasimpasa	16	3	6	7	-7	-7.6	15
15	Antalyaspor	17	4	3	10	-15	-10.7	15
16	Kayserispor	17	2	9	6	-17	-9.2	15
17	Eyüpspor	17	3	4	10	-14	-7.2	13
18	Karagumruk	16	2	3	11	-16	-11.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	6	2	0	+12	+15.5	20
2	Galatasaray	8	6	2	0	+11	+9.0	20
3	Trabzonspor	9	5	4	0	+10	+6.1	19
4	Kocaelispor	9	5	3	1	+5	+5.0	18
5	Besiktas	8	4	2	2	+3	+8.4	14
6	Samsunspor	9	3	4	2	+0	+6.4	13
7	Goztep	7	3	3	1	+4	+2.4	12
8	Gaziantep	9	3	2	4	-5	+3.0	11
9	Genclerbirligi	7	3	1	3	+1	+3.1	10
10	Rizespor	9	3	1	5	-4	+5.4	10
11	Alanyaspor	7	2	3	2	+1	-1.0	9
12	Konyaspor	9	2	3	4	-2	-0.7	9
13	Eyüpspor	9	2	3	4	-6	-1.3	9
14	Buyuksehyr	7	1	4	2	-1	-1.4	7
15	Kayserispor	8	1	3	4	-12	-4.0	6
16	Karagumruk	9	1	2	6	-8	-3.9	5
17	Kasimpasa	8	0	4	4	-6	-1.5	4
18	Antalyaspor	8	1	1	6	-13	-3.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	9	5	4	0	+13	+6.0	19
2	Galatasaray	8	6	1	1	+13	+7.4	19
3	Goztep	9	5	2	2	+6	+0.4	17
4	Trabzonspor	7	5	1	1	+4	-4.0	16
5	Besiktas	9	4	3	2	+5	+7.7	15
6	Buyuksehyr	9	4	1	4	+6	-0.1	13
7	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+4	+1.1	12
8	Gaziantep	7	3	3	1	+3	-3.7	12
9	Kasimpasa	8	3	2	3	-1	-6.2	11
10	Antalyaspor	9	3	2	4	-2	-7.4	11
11	Alanyaspor	9	1	6	2	-2	-3.0	9
12	Kayserispor	9	1	6	2	-5	-5.3	9
13	Rizespor	8	1	5	2	+0	-4.6	8
14	Konyaspor	8	2	2	4	-6	-5.4	8
15	Genclerbirligi	9	1	2	6	-5	-11.0	5
16	Kocaelispor	8	1	2	5	-7	-5.9	5
17	Karagumruk	7	1	1	5	-8	-7.1	4
18	Eyüpspor	8	1	1	6	-8	-5.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.