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Süper Lig

Referee: Ç Altay

Hatayspor

T T S T S

3–2

Full-time

Sivasspor

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 20%

12%

27%

Points per game

0,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

48%

54%

Both score Ø 59%

64%

54%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,83 xG 2,22

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 21

8 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 9

0 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Sivasspor 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	27	22	5	0	+41	+27.5	71
2	Fenerbahce	25	19	4	2	+40	+31.7	61
3	Samsunspor	26	15	5	6	+14	+10.7	50
4	Besiktas	26	12	8	6	+13	+14.9	44
5	Eyüpspor	26	12	7	7	+11	+0.1	43
6	Gaziantep	26	11	5	10	+1	-6.8	38
7	Goztep	25	10	6	9	+10	+14.2	36
8	Buyuksehyr	26	10	6	10	+4	+6.7	36
9	Trabzonspor	26	9	8	9	+12	-1.3	35
10	Kasimpasa	27	8	11	8	-5	-1.0	35
11	Rizespor	27	10	3	14	-12	+3.8	33
12	Antalyaspor	27	9	6	12	-21	-16.0	33
13	Konyaspor	27	8	7	12	-7	-10.0	31
14	Alanyaspor	27	8	7	12	-9	-1.5	31
15	Bodrumspor	27	8	6	13	-9	-1.4	30
16	Sivasspor	26	7	6	13	-11	-15.8	27
17	Kayserispor	26	6	9	11	-19	-4.8	27
18	Hatayspor	25	3	7	15	-18	-20.5	16
19	Ad. Demirspor	26	2	4	20	-35	-30.6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	14	11	3	0	+21	+19.5	36
2	Fenerbahce	12	11	0	1	+20	+16.9	33
3	Gaziantep	14	9	3	2	+12	+1.5	30
4	Goztep	12	9	2	1	+19	+15.3	29
5	Trabzonspor	13	8	3	2	+17	+5.4	27
6	Eyüpspor	13	8	3	2	+12	+3.6	27
7	Samsunspor	13	8	2	3	+10	+11.9	26
8	Besiktas	13	8	2	3	+7	+9.6	26
9	Buyuksehyr	14	7	4	3	+13	+8.9	25
10	Antalyaspor	13	7	3	3	+0	-2.8	24
11	Alanyaspor	13	6	3	4	+3	+5.9	21
12	Sivasspor	14	5	5	4	+3	-5.5	20
13	Konyaspor	13	5	5	3	+3	+0.7	20
14	Bodrumspor	13	5	3	5	+3	+0.8	18
15	Rizespor	13	5	3	5	-1	+9.2	18
16	Kasimpasa	13	4	5	4	-2	+3.6	17
17	Kayserispor	13	4	4	5	-7	-0.5	16
18	Hatayspor	13	2	5	6	-6	-7.6	11
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	1	2	10	-19	-12.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	11	2	0	+20	+8.0	35
2	Fenerbahce	13	8	4	1	+20	+14.8	28
3	Samsunspor	13	7	3	3	+4	-1.2	24
4	Besiktas	13	4	6	3	+6	+5.3	18
5	Kasimpasa	14	4	6	4	-3	-4.6	18
6	Eyüpspor	13	4	4	5	-1	-3.4	16
7	Rizespor	14	5	0	9	-11	-5.3	15
8	Bodrumspor	14	3	3	8	-12	-2.2	12
9	Buyuksehyr	12	3	2	7	-9	-2.2	11
10	Konyaspor	14	3	2	9	-10	-10.7	11
11	Kayserispor	13	2	5	6	-12	-4.3	11
12	Alanyaspor	14	2	4	8	-12	-7.4	10
13	Antalyaspor	14	2	3	9	-21	-13.2	9
14	Trabzonspor	13	1	5	7	-5	-6.7	8
15	Gaziantep	12	2	2	8	-11	-8.3	8
16	Goztep	13	1	4	8	-9	-1.1	7
17	Sivasspor	12	2	1	9	-14	-10.2	7
18	Hatayspor	12	1	2	9	-12	-12.9	5
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	1	2	10	-16	-18.3	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.