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Süper Lig

Referee: T Numanoğlu

Ad. Demirspor

T U T S U

4–1

Full-time

Sivasspor

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Sivasspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 30%

28%

31%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 61%

59%

62%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,96 xG 0,28

67% Possession 33%

13 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 12. · Sivasspor 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	29	25	3	1	+47	+39.5	78
2	Fenerbahce	29	24	4	1	+53	+52.5	76
3	Trabzonspor	29	15	4	10	+12	+2.1	49
4	Besiktas	29	14	4	11	+5	+9.6	46
5	Kasimpasa	29	12	7	10	-1	-8.5	43
6	Buyuksehyr	30	12	6	12	+3	-0.3	42
7	Alanyaspor	30	9	12	9	-4	+2.2	39
8	Kayserispor	30	10	9	11	-7	-7.6	39
9	Rizespor	29	11	6	12	-13	-7.1	39
10	Antalyaspor	29	9	11	9	+1	+0.5	38
11	Sivasspor	29	9	11	9	-4	-6.1	38
12	Ad. Demirspor	29	8	12	9	+4	-1.6	36
13	Samsunspor	29	10	6	13	-3	+4.9	36
14	Ankaragücü	30	7	12	11	-3	-5.7	33
15	Konyaspor	30	7	12	11	-11	-10.7	33
16	Gaziantep	29	8	7	14	-8	-11.4	31
17	Karagumruk	30	7	9	14	-4	-12.4	30
18	Hatayspor	29	6	12	11	-7	-5.4	30
19	Pendikspor	30	7	8	15	-27	-11.8	29
20	İstanbulspor	30	3	7	20	-33	-22.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	15	0	0	+28	+27.7	45
2	Fenerbahce	15	11	3	1	+27	+29.6	36
3	Rizespor	15	9	3	3	+8	+4.4	30
4	Samsunspor	15	9	2	4	+9	+5.9	29
5	Trabzonspor	14	9	1	4	+8	+5.0	28
6	Ad. Demirspor	14	8	3	3	+12	+5.7	27
7	Besiktas	14	8	2	4	+8	+6.4	26
8	Buyuksehyr	15	8	2	5	+7	+1.3	26
9	Antalyaspor	15	6	7	2	+3	+2.0	25
10	Karagumruk	15	6	6	3	+12	-0.7	24
11	Kayserispor	15	6	6	3	+5	+2.6	24
12	Alanyaspor	15	6	6	3	+4	+4.7	24
13	Ankaragücü	16	5	7	4	+1	+1.2	22
14	Kasimpasa	14	6	4	4	+0	-3.8	22
15	Konyaspor	14	5	4	5	+3	+2.2	19
16	Hatayspor	14	4	7	3	+2	-1.8	19
17	Sivasspor	14	4	7	3	+2	+1.7	19
18	Pendikspor	15	5	3	7	-9	-6.1	18
19	Gaziantep	15	4	5	6	-4	-6.3	17
20	İstanbulspor	15	2	3	10	-17	-12.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	14	13	1	0	+26	+22.9	40
2	Galatasaray	14	10	3	1	+19	+11.8	33
3	Trabzonspor	15	6	3	6	+4	-2.8	21
4	Kasimpasa	15	6	3	6	-1	-4.7	21
5	Besiktas	15	6	2	7	-3	+3.2	20
6	Sivasspor	15	5	4	6	-6	-7.7	19
7	Buyuksehyr	15	4	4	7	-4	-1.6	16
8	Alanyaspor	15	3	6	6	-8	-2.5	15
9	Kayserispor	15	4	3	8	-12	-10.2	15
10	Gaziantep	14	4	2	8	-4	-5.1	14
11	Konyaspor	16	2	8	6	-14	-12.9	14
12	Antalyaspor	14	3	4	7	-2	-1.5	13
13	Ankaragücü	14	2	5	7	-4	-6.9	11
14	Hatayspor	15	2	5	8	-9	-3.6	11
15	Pendikspor	15	2	5	8	-18	-5.7	11
16	Ad. Demirspor	15	0	9	6	-8	-7.3	9
17	Rizespor	14	2	3	9	-21	-11.5	9
18	Samsunspor	14	1	4	9	-12	-1.1	7
19	İstanbulspor	15	1	4	10	-16	-10.1	7
20	Karagumruk	15	1	3	11	-16	-11.7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.