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Süper Lig

Referee: O Ergün

Alanyaspor

T S S T T

3–2

Full-time

Ad. Demirspor

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Ad. Demirspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,8

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 20%

30%

Points per game

1,2

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

39%

65%

Both score Ø 53%

48%

57%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

4,48 xG 1,17

65% Possession 35%

25 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 1

8 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alanyaspor 13. · Ad. Demirspor 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	23	20	3	0	+36	+23.7	63
2	Fenerbahce	23	18	3	2	+37	+28.5	57
3	Samsunspor	24	14	4	6	+13	+10.0	46
4	Besiktas	23	11	8	4	+13	+10.8	41
5	Eyüpspor	24	11	7	6	+12	+0.3	40
6	Goztep	23	10	5	8	+12	+13.1	35
7	Buyuksehyr	23	9	6	8	+8	+6.7	33
8	Kasimpasa	24	7	10	7	-5	-0.3	31
9	Rizespor	24	9	3	12	-11	+4.2	30
10	Antalyaspor	24	8	6	10	-15	-11.3	30
11	Trabzonspor	22	7	8	7	+10	-2.8	29
12	Gaziantep	22	8	5	9	-2	-6.3	29
13	Alanyaspor	23	7	7	9	-6	-2.9	28
14	Konyaspor	24	6	7	11	-8	-7.4	25
15	Sivasspor	24	6	6	12	-12	-16.1	24
16	Kayserispor	23	5	9	9	-18	-4.6	24
17	Bodrumspor	24	6	5	13	-12	-3.6	23
18	Hatayspor	24	2	7	15	-19	-18.7	13
19	Ad. Demirspor	23	2	3	18	-33	-23.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	10	2	0	+17	+17.2	32
2	Fenerbahce	11	10	0	1	+17	+15.0	30
3	Goztep	11	9	1	1	+19	+13.5	28
4	Trabzonspor	11	7	3	1	+17	+3.3	24
5	Eyüpspor	12	7	3	2	+11	+2.4	24
6	Gaziantep	12	7	3	2	+9	+0.7	24
7	Samsunspor	12	7	2	3	+9	+9.3	23
8	Besiktas	11	7	2	2	+6	+7.5	23
9	Buyuksehyr	12	6	4	2	+15	+8.4	22
10	Antalyaspor	12	6	3	3	-1	-3.6	21
11	Alanyaspor	11	5	3	3	+3	+3.8	18
12	Sivasspor	13	4	5	4	+1	-6.3	17
13	Bodrumspor	12	4	3	5	+2	+0.3	15
14	Rizespor	11	4	3	4	-1	+8.7	15
15	Konyaspor	11	3	5	3	+1	+2.1	14
16	Kasimpasa	11	3	4	4	-3	+3.7	13
17	Kayserispor	12	3	4	5	-9	-1.0	13
18	Hatayspor	13	2	5	6	-6	-7.6	11
19	Ad. Demirspor	12	1	1	10	-19	-10.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	10	1	0	+19	+6.5	31
2	Fenerbahce	12	8	3	1	+20	+13.4	27
3	Samsunspor	12	7	2	3	+4	+0.7	23
4	Besiktas	12	4	6	2	+7	+3.4	18
5	Kasimpasa	13	4	6	3	-2	-4.1	18
6	Eyüpspor	12	4	4	4	+1	-2.1	16
7	Rizespor	13	5	0	8	-10	-4.5	15
8	Buyuksehyr	11	3	2	6	-7	-1.7	11
9	Konyaspor	13	3	2	8	-9	-9.5	11
10	Kayserispor	11	2	5	4	-9	-3.6	11
11	Alanyaspor	12	2	4	6	-9	-6.7	10
12	Antalyaspor	12	2	3	7	-14	-7.7	9
13	Bodrumspor	12	2	2	8	-14	-3.9	8
14	Goztep	12	1	4	7	-7	-0.3	7
15	Sivasspor	11	2	1	8	-13	-9.8	7
16	Trabzonspor	11	0	5	6	-7	-6.1	5
17	Gaziantep	10	1	2	7	-11	-7.0	5
18	Ad. Demirspor	11	1	2	8	-14	-12.4	5
19	Hatayspor	11	0	2	9	-13	-11.1	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.