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Süper Lig

Referee: Ü Öztürk

Goztep

T S U S T

5–0

Full-time

Kasimpasa

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 36%

47%

24%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

65%

59%

Both score Ø 65%

65%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,31 xG 0,64

49% Possession 51%

18 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 3

5 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Goztep 6. · Kasimpasa 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	18	16	2	0	+30	+17.3	50
2	Fenerbahce	17	12	3	2	+26	+19.6	39
3	Samsunspor	18	11	3	4	+14	+11.2	36
4	Eyüpspor	18	8	6	4	+10	-1.3	30
5	Besiktas	18	8	6	4	+8	+6.1	30
6	Goztep	17	8	4	5	+9	+5.1	28
7	Buyuksehyr	18	7	5	6	+4	+7.1	26
8	Gaziantep	18	7	4	7	-1	-4.4	25
9	Rizespor	18	7	3	8	-8	+5.8	24
10	Trabzonspor	18	5	7	6	+6	-2.8	22
11	Alanyaspor	18	5	7	6	-2	+1.3	22
12	Kasimpasa	17	4	9	4	-1	-0.3	21
13	Antalyaspor	18	6	3	9	-16	-11.7	21
14	Konyaspor	17	5	5	7	-6	-6.4	20
15	Sivasspor	18	5	5	8	-7	-12.9	20
16	Kayserispor	18	3	7	8	-17	-7.1	16
17	Bodrumspor	18	4	3	11	-11	-4.8	15
18	Hatayspor	18	1	6	11	-15	-10.5	9
19	Ad. Demirspor	18	2	2	14	-23	-11.2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	8	2	0	+13	+14.1	26
2	Goztep	8	7	1	0	+14	+5.1	22
3	Fenerbahce	8	7	0	1	+13	+11.4	21
4	Gaziantep	9	6	2	1	+9	+1.9	20
5	Besiktas	9	6	1	2	+5	+5.9	19
6	Trabzonspor	9	5	3	1	+12	+2.3	18
7	Eyüpspor	8	5	2	1	+9	+1.6	17
8	Samsunspor	9	5	2	2	+7	+8.0	17
9	Buyuksehyr	9	4	4	1	+10	+7.8	16
10	Antalyaspor	9	5	1	3	-2	-3.9	16
11	Alanyaspor	9	4	3	2	+4	+3.7	15
12	Sivasspor	10	3	4	3	+0	-5.3	13
13	Rizespor	9	3	3	3	-1	+5.7	12
14	Bodrumspor	9	3	2	4	+2	-1.1	11
15	Konyaspor	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.2	10
16	Kasimpasa	9	1	4	4	-5	+2.0	7
17	Hatayspor	10	1	4	5	-6	-2.7	7
18	Kayserispor	9	1	3	5	-11	-3.2	6
19	Ad. Demirspor	9	1	0	8	-13	-2.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	8	0	0	+17	+3.2	24
2	Samsunspor	9	6	1	2	+7	+3.2	19
3	Fenerbahce	9	5	3	1	+13	+8.2	18
4	Kasimpasa	8	3	5	0	+4	-2.3	14
5	Eyüpspor	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.9	13
6	Rizespor	9	4	0	5	-7	+0.2	12
7	Besiktas	9	2	5	2	+3	+0.2	11
8	Buyuksehyr	9	3	1	5	-6	-0.8	10
9	Kayserispor	9	2	4	3	-6	-3.9	10
10	Konyaspor	10	3	1	6	-7	-7.5	10
11	Alanyaspor	9	1	4	4	-6	-2.4	7
12	Sivasspor	8	2	1	5	-7	-7.6	7
13	Goztep	9	1	3	5	-5	-0.0	6
14	Gaziantep	9	1	2	6	-10	-6.3	5
15	Ad. Demirspor	9	1	2	6	-10	-8.4	5
16	Antalyaspor	9	1	2	6	-14	-7.7	5
17	Trabzonspor	9	0	4	5	-6	-5.2	4
18	Bodrumspor	9	1	1	7	-13	-3.7	4
19	Hatayspor	8	0	2	6	-9	-7.8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.