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Süper Lig
Referee: M Filiz
Alanyaspor
T U U S T
5–0
Full-time
Trabzonspor
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Trabzonspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 40%
29%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
59%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
65%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

32% Possession 68%
11 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 9. · Trabzonspor 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 17 12 3 2 +19 39
2 Fenerbahce 17 11 2 4 +22 35
3 Buyuksehyr 17 10 4 3 +9 34
4 Ad. Demirspor 17 8 6 3 +15 30
5 Besiktas 16 8 5 3 +10 29
6 Trabzonspor 16 8 5 3 +5 29
7 Konyaspor 17 6 9 2 +7 27
8 Kayserispor 17 7 2 8 +0 23
9 Alanyaspor 17 5 6 6 -6 21
10 Karagumruk 17 5 5 7 +1 20
11 Ankaragücü 17 5 4 8 -4 19
12 Giresunspor 17 5 4 8 -10 19
13 Gaziantep 16 4 6 6 -1 18
14 Kasimpasa 17 5 3 9 -11 18
15 Antalyaspor 16 5 2 9 -7 17
16 Hatayspor 17 4 5 8 -14 17
17 Sivasspor 17 3 6 8 -6 15
18 Ümraniyespor 17 3 5 9 -9 14
19 İstanbulspor 16 3 2 11 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Trabzonspor
1–0 E. Karaca
A. Lusamba
14′
Y. Özdemir 🔁
↦ Pedro Pereira
32′
36′
🟨 Vitor Hugo
2–0 Koka
36′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Djaniny
↦ U. Bozok
46′
🔁 Marc Bartra
↦ Vitor Hugo
3–0 Koka
E. Bekiroğlu
52′
63′
🔁 Y. Yazıcı
↦ A. Ömür
Wilson Eduardo 🔁
↦ Koka
66′
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ E. Bekiroğlu
66′
68′
🔁 M. Lahtimi
↦ N. Ünüvar
69′
🟨 Anastasios Bakasetas
L. Fer 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
73′
4–0 Wilson Eduardo
75′
5–0 Y. Özdemir
U. Güneş
78′
81′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ A. Bakasetas
Wilson Eduardo 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Eren Elmalı
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

3-4-2-1
13 R. Rúnarsson G
20 F. Aksoy D
4 F. Bayır D
29 J. Balkovec D
10 Z. Ferhat M
6 U. Güneş M
97 A. Lusamba M
27 Pedro Pereira M
7 E. Karaca F
11 E. Bekiroğlu F
93 Koka F
Bench (10)
88 Y. Özdemir
17 Wilson Eduardo
19 Ivan Cavaleiro
8 L. Fer
39 K. Erciyas
98 I. Doumbia
99 Y. Karagöz
21 Candeias
23 J. Rassoul
70 O. Aydın

Coach: F. Farioli

Trabzonspor

4-1-4-1
1 U. Çakır G
19 J. Stryger Larsen D
25 J. Gbamin D
13 Vitor Hugo D
18 E. Elmalı D
6 E. Siopis M
27 Trézéguet M
10 A. Ömür M
11 A. Bakasetas M
23 N. Ünüvar M
9 U. Bozok F
Bench (10)
21 Djaniny
3 Marc Bartra
61 Y. Yazıcı
80 M. Lahtimi
29 E. Bardhi
54 T. Tepe
34 D. Haspolat
17 M. Hamšík
72 A. Boşluk
24 S. Denswil

Coach: A. Avcı

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,04
U
3,57
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Filiz · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.