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Süper Lig
Referee: H Göçek
Fenerbahce
S S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Sivasspor
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 45%
73%
17%
Points per game
2,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
64%
42%
Both score Ø 43%
36%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
3,1
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 23
7 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 1. · Sivasspor 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 11 8 2 1 +22 26
2 Galatasaray 12 7 3 2 +6 24
3 Buyuksehyr 11 7 2 2 +11 23
4 Ad. Demirspor 12 6 5 1 +10 23
5 Kayserispor 13 7 2 4 +6 23
6 Besiktas 13 6 4 3 +8 22
7 Trabzonspor 12 6 4 2 +3 22
8 Konyaspor 13 5 6 2 +6 21
9 Antalyaspor 12 5 1 6 -2 16
10 Alanyaspor 13 4 4 5 -5 16
11 Gaziantep 12 4 3 5 +0 15
12 Kasimpasa 13 4 3 6 -11 15
13 Karagumruk 12 3 3 6 -3 12
14 Ankaragücü 12 3 3 6 -5 12
15 Giresunspor 12 3 3 6 -8 12
16 Sivasspor 12 2 4 6 -5 10
17 Hatayspor 11 3 1 7 -11 10
18 İstanbulspor 12 2 2 8 -13 8
19 Ümraniyespor 12 1 3 8 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Sivasspor
19′
🟨 Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Miguel Crespo 🟨
25′
35′
🟨 Kader Keita
Emre Mor 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
Michy Batshuayi 🟨
48′
Michy Batshuayi 🟥
48′
Michy Batshuayi 🟨
49′
1–0 E. Valencia
55′
60′
🟨 Robin Yalçın
61′
🔁 C. N'Jie
↦ K. Keita
61′
🔁 D. Goutas
↦ R. Yalçın
61′
🔁 H. Arslan
↦ E. Yeşilyurt
M. Zajc 🔁
↦ E. Mor
63′
D. Rossi 🔁
↦ Miguel Crespo
63′
69′
🟨 Caner Osmanpaşa
Miha Zajc 🟨
75′
B. Osayi-Samuel 🔁
↦ E. Alioski
83′
İ. Yüksek 🔁
↦ İ. Kahveci
84′
84′
🔁 A. Musa
↦ C. Osmanpaşa
Serdar Aziz 🟨
87′
89′
🟨 Dia Saba
João Pedro 🔁
↦ E. Valencia
89′
89′
🔁 K. Angielski
↦ D. SabiA
Altay Bayındır 🟨
97′
99′
🟨 Ziya Erdal
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-1-3-2
1 A. Bayındır G
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
4 S. Aziz D
41 A. Szalai D
6 E. Alioski D
5 Willian Arão M
17 İ. Kahveci M
27 Miguel Crespo M
99 E. Mor M
13 E. Valencia F
23 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (10)
26 M. Zajc
9 D. Rossi
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
80 İ. Yüksek
20 João Pedro
10 A. Güler
54 E. Çetin
19 S. Dursun
94 Y. Demir
69 Y. Kocatürk

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Sivasspor

4-2-3-1
35 A. Vural G
8 R. Yalçın D
4 A. Appindangoyé D
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
58 Z. Erdal D
28 K. Keita M
23 F. Ulvestad M
17 E. Yeşilyurt M
11 D. Sabi'A M
7 M. Gradel M
9 M. Yatabaré F
Bench (10)
10 C. N'Jie
6 D. Goutas
37 H. Arslan
26 A. Musa
19 K. Angielski
14 S. Camara
96 M. Albayrak
62 Ö. Yiğiter
25 M. Yıldırım
15 C. Charisis

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
U
5,10
B
8,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Göçek · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.