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Europa League
Referee: C Turpin
Fenerbahce
T S S U U
1–1
Full-time
Man United
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,15 xG 1,21
52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fenerbahce Man United
14′
🟨 Marcus Rashford
15′
C. Eriksen 0–1
J. Zirkzee
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Y. En-Nesyri
A. Saint-Maximin
49′
55′
🔁 R. Højlund
↦ J. Zirkzee
55′
🔁 Casemiro
↦ V. Lindelöf
Bright Osayi-Samuel 🟨
60′
Rodrigo Becão 🔁
↦ B. Osayi-Samuel
62′
73′
🔁 Antony
↦ M. Rashford
E. Džeko 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
79′
İ. Kahveci 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
79′
İ. Yüksek 🔁
↦ A. Saint-Maximin
79′
89′
🔁 A. Diallo
↦ Antony
M. Yandaş 🔁
↦ S. Szymański
90′
Mert Müldür 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-3-3
40 D. Livaković G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
4 Ç. Söyüncü D
6 A. Djiku D
16 M. Müldür D
13 Fred M
34 S. Amrabat M
53 S. Szymański M
10 D. Tadić F
19 Y. En-Nesyri F
97 A. Saint-Maximin F
Bench (12)
50 Rodrigo Becão
9 E. Džeko
17 İ. Kahveci
5 İ. Yüksek
8 M. Yandaş
42 M. Dursun
1 İ. Eğribayat
3 S. Akaydin
81 Ş. Toğrak
23 C. Tosun
54 E. Çetin
95 Y. Akçiçek

Coach: José Mourinho

Man United

4-2-3-1
24 A. Onana G
20 Diogo Dalot D
4 M. de Ligt D
2 V. Lindelöf D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
14 C. Eriksen M
25 M. Ugarte M
10 M. Rashford M
3 N. Mazraoui M
17 A. Garnacho M
11 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (9)
9 R. Højlund
18 Casemiro
21 Antony
16 A. Diallo
66 H. Ogunneye
41 H. Amass
1 A. Bayındır
36 E. Wheatley
22 T. Heaton

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.