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Süper Lig
Referee: A Karaoğlan
İstanbulspor
T S S S T
0–1
Full-time
Karagumruk
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

İstanbulspor Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 67%
54%
79%
Average goals
3,1
4,1
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match İstanbulspor 18. · Karagumruk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 26 20 3 3 +35 63
2 Fenerbahce 25 17 3 5 +33 54
3 Besiktas 26 15 7 4 +22 52
4 Ad. Demirspor 26 12 9 5 +18 45
5 Trabzonspor 26 13 5 8 +9 44
6 Buyuksehyr 25 13 5 7 +9 44
7 Kayserispor 26 13 2 11 +4 41
8 Konyaspor 26 8 11 7 +2 35
9 Karagumruk 24 7 10 7 +4 31
10 Sivasspor 26 8 6 12 -4 30
11 Kasimpasa 26 8 5 13 -10 29
12 Alanyaspor 26 7 8 11 -11 29
13 Antalyaspor 25 8 4 13 -8 28
14 Ümraniyespor 27 6 8 13 -7 26
15 Ankaragücü 25 7 4 14 -11 25
16 Gaziantep 27 6 7 14 -14 25
17 Giresunspor 25 5 9 11 -19 24
18 İstanbulspor 24 7 3 14 -21 24
19 Hatayspor 25 6 5 14 -31 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

İstanbulspor Karagumruk
27′
M. Diagne 0–1
B. Kapacak
Emir Kaan Gültekin 🟨
30′
44′
🟨 Matteo Ricci
Half-time 0–1
Florian Loshaj 🟨
50′
Jason Lokilo 🟨
58′
62′
🔁 K. Frei
↦ B. Kapacak
K. Şen 🔁
↦ F. Loshaj
63′
E. Eze 🔁
↦ E. Gültekin
63′
74′
🔁 E. Colley
↦ F. Borini
74′
🔁 S. Feghouli
↦ A. Bertolacci
Emeka Eze 🟨
75′
Ali Yaşar 🟨
80′
86′
🔁 L. Nicholas
↦ M. Ozdoev
86′
🔁 O. Shukurov
↦ M. Ricci
91′
🟨 Davide Biraschi
S. Deli 🔁
↦ M. Sarıkaya
92′
94′
🟨 Davide Biraschi
94′
🟥 Davide Biraschi
A. Mehremić 🔁
↦ J. Lokilo
95′
E. Ersoy 🔁
↦ V. Ethemi
96′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

İstanbulspor

4-1-4-1
1 D. Jensen G
21 D. Duhaney D
23 O. Erdoğan D
4 M. Yeşil D
66 A. Yaşar D
12 M. Ba M
70 J. Lokilo M
24 M. Sarıkaya M
34 F. Loshaj M
27 V. Ethemi M
19 E. Gültekin F
Bench (10)
16 K. Şen
90 E. Eze
20 S. Deli
88 A. Mehremić
46 E. Ersoy
6 M. Cihan
98 J. Topalli
13 O. Berber
59 A. Arda
5 E. Öztürk

Coach: F. Tekke

Karagumruk

4-3-3
1 B. Şen G
4 D. Biraschi D
6 Bruno Rodrigues D
5 I. Drešević D
18 L. Mercan D
91 A. Bertolacci M
8 M. Ricci M
27 M. Ozdoev M
22 B. Kapacak F
9 M. Diagne F
16 F. Borini F
Bench (10)
11 K. Frei
19 E. Colley
89 S. Feghouli
24 L. Nicholas
29 O. Shukurov
7 S. Lobzhanidze
23 C. Kablan
99 R. Baniya
10 A. Ljajić
54 S. Dursun

Coach: A. Pirlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,10
U
3,58
B ✓
2,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.