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Süper Lig
Referee: A Bitigen
Alanyaspor
T T U S T
1–4
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
This season — Süper Lig · 28/27 matches
Win Ø 54%
29%
78%
Points per game
1,1
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
68%
70%
Both score Ø 53%
57%
48%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 13
5 Blocked shots 3
9 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 11. · Galatasaray 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 27 21 3 3 +41 66
2 Fenerbahce 27 19 3 5 +35 60
3 Besiktas 28 16 8 4 +24 56
4 Ad. Demirspor 28 14 9 5 +26 51
5 Buyuksehyr 27 13 6 8 +8 45
6 Trabzonspor 28 13 6 9 +7 45
7 Kayserispor 28 14 2 12 +0 44
8 Konyaspor 28 9 12 7 +5 39
9 Karagumruk 27 9 10 8 +7 37
10 Antalyaspor 27 9 5 13 -6 32
11 Alanyaspor 28 8 8 12 -10 32
12 Kasimpasa 28 9 5 14 -13 32
13 Sivasspor 28 8 7 13 -5 31
14 Ankaragücü 27 8 4 15 -11 28
15 Giresunspor 27 6 9 12 -20 27
16 İstanbulspor 27 8 3 16 -22 27
17 Ümraniyespor 28 6 8 14 -9 26
18 Gaziantep 29 6 7 16 -20 25
19 Hatayspor 27 6 5 16 -37 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Galatasaray
14′
A. Bardakcı 0–1
K. Aktürkoğlu
1–1 E. Karaca
17′
Yusuf Ozdemir 🟨
31′
42′
M. Icardi 1–2
D. Mertens
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 B. Yılmaz
↦ M. Icardi
48′
D. Mertens 1–3
K. Aktürkoğlu
Idrissa Doumbia 🟨
55′
Z. Ferhat 🔁
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
60′
E. Bekiroğlu 🔁
↦ J. Rassoul
60′
63′
M. Rashica 1–4
S. Adekugbe
65′
🔁 N. Zaniolo
↦ D. Mertens
F. Bayır 🔁
↦ Y. Özdemir
74′
74′
🔁 F. Midtsjø
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
74′
🔁 Y. Akgün
↦ M. Rashica
J. Balkovec 🔁
↦ I. Doumbia
75′
80′
🔁 B. Gomis
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
82′
Pedro Pereira 🟨
84′
91′
🟨 Barış Alper Yılmaz
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-3-3
13 R. Rúnarsson G
27 Pedro Pereira D
20 F. Aksoy D
23 J. Rassoul D
88 Y. Özdemir D
98 I. Doumbia M
8 L. Fer M
97 A. Lusamba M
7 E. Karaca F
93 Koka F
19 Ivan Cavaleiro F
Bench (10)
10 Z. Ferhat
11 E. Bekiroğlu
4 F. Bayır
29 J. Balkovec
70 O. Aydın
37 M. Torlak
9 E. Yardımcı
24 E. Koulouris
17 Wilson Eduardo
99 Y. Karagöz

Coach: E. Yanal

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
25 V. Nelsson D
42 A. Bardakcı D
32 S. Adekugbe D
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
5 L. Torreira M
26 M. Rashica M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
99 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
53 B. Yılmaz
17 N. Zaniolo
6 F. Midtsjø
11 Y. Akgün
18 B. Gomis
22 B. Kutlu
34 O. Kocuk
23 K. Ayhan
2 L. Dubois
64 Mata

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,88
U
4,63
B ✓
1,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bitigen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.