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Süper Lig
Kayserispor
S S S T T
3–0
Full-time
Hatayspor
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,8
This season — Süper Lig · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 36%
46%
26%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
61%
Both score Ø 49%
54%
43%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kayserispor 7. · Hatayspor 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 25 19 3 3 +33 60
2 Fenerbahce 24 17 3 4 +35 54
3 Besiktas 25 14 7 4 +20 49
4 Ad. Demirspor 25 12 9 4 +20 45
5 Trabzonspor 25 13 5 7 +10 44
6 Buyuksehyr 24 12 5 7 +8 41
7 Kayserispor 24 11 2 11 +0 35
8 Konyaspor 25 8 10 7 +2 34
9 Karagumruk 24 7 10 7 +4 31
10 Antalyaspor 25 8 4 13 -8 28
11 Alanyaspor 25 7 7 11 -11 28
12 Sivasspor 25 7 6 12 -7 27
13 Kasimpasa 25 7 5 13 -13 26
14 Ümraniyespor 26 6 7 13 -7 25
15 Ankaragücü 24 7 4 13 -10 25
16 Gaziantep 26 6 7 13 -11 25
17 İstanbulspor 24 7 3 14 -21 24
18 Giresunspor 24 5 8 11 -19 23
19 Hatayspor 23 6 5 12 -25 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.