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Süper Lig

Referee: Z Küçük

Kayserispor

S T T S S

3–1

Full-time

Ümraniyespor

U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Ümraniyespor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,2

This season — Süper Lig · 26/27 matches

Win Ø 36%

50%

22%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

69%

63%

Both score Ø 61%

54%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

18 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 9

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Kayserispor 7. · Ümraniyespor 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	26	20	3	3	+35	63
2	Besiktas	27	16	7	4	+24	55
3	Fenerbahce	25	17	3	5	+33	54
4	Ad. Demirspor	27	13	9	5	+21	48
5	Buyuksehyr	26	13	6	7	+9	45
6	Trabzonspor	27	13	5	9	+7	44
7	Kayserispor	26	13	2	11	+4	41
8	Konyaspor	27	8	12	7	+2	36
9	Karagumruk	25	8	10	7	+5	34
10	Alanyaspor	27	8	8	11	-8	32
11	Kasimpasa	27	9	5	13	-8	32
12	Sivasspor	27	8	7	12	-4	31
13	Antalyaspor	26	8	5	13	-8	29
14	Ankaragücü	26	8	4	14	-10	28
15	Ümraniyespor	27	6	8	13	-7	26
16	Gaziantep	28	6	7	15	-17	25
17	Giresunspor	26	5	9	12	-21	24
18	İstanbulspor	26	7	3	16	-23	24
19	Hatayspor	26	6	5	15	-34	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	11	1	1	+14	34
2	Besiktas	14	10	3	1	+18	33
3	Ad. Demirspor	13	9	4	0	+22	31
4	Trabzonspor	14	9	3	2	+16	30
5	Fenerbahce	13	9	1	3	+18	28
6	Buyuksehyr	13	9	1	3	+7	28
7	Alanyaspor	14	7	4	3	+9	25
8	Kayserispor	13	7	1	5	+6	22
9	Kasimpasa	15	6	3	6	-1	21
10	Antalyaspor	13	6	2	5	+3	20
11	Konyaspor	14	4	6	4	+0	18
12	Karagumruk	12	4	5	3	+5	17
13	Ankaragücü	13	5	2	6	-2	17
14	Hatayspor	12	4	4	4	-7	16
15	Sivasspor	13	3	6	4	+1	15
16	Ümraniyespor	15	3	4	8	-3	13
17	Gaziantep	13	3	4	6	-5	13
18	Giresunspor	12	3	3	6	-6	12
19	İstanbulspor	12	3	2	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	9	2	2	+21	29
2	Fenerbahce	12	8	2	2	+15	26
3	Besiktas	13	6	4	3	+6	22
4	Kayserispor	13	6	1	6	-2	19
5	Konyaspor	13	4	6	3	+2	18
6	Buyuksehyr	13	4	5	4	+2	17
7	Karagumruk	13	4	5	4	+0	17
8	Ad. Demirspor	14	4	5	5	-1	17
9	Sivasspor	14	5	1	8	-5	16
10	Trabzonspor	13	4	2	7	-9	14
11	Ümraniyespor	12	3	4	5	-4	13
12	İstanbulspor	14	4	1	9	-14	13
13	Gaziantep	15	3	3	9	-12	12
14	Giresunspor	14	2	6	6	-15	12
15	Kasimpasa	12	3	2	7	-7	11
16	Ankaragücü	13	3	2	8	-8	11
17	Antalyaspor	13	2	3	8	-11	9
18	Alanyaspor	13	1	4	8	-17	7
19	Hatayspor	14	2	1	11	-27	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.