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Süper Lig
Referee: C Çakιr
Besiktas
T T S S U
1–0
Full-time
Karagumruk
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Karagumruk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
2,3
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
18 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 1
5 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Besiktas 8. · Karagumruk 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Konyaspor 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Altay 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Trabzonspor 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Galatasaray 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Fenerbahce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Yeni Malatyaspor 3 2 0 1 -1 6
7 Hatayspor 3 1 1 1 +4 4
8 Besiktas 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Kasimpasa 2 1 1 0 +2 4
10 Karagumruk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Antalyaspor 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Kayserispor 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Alanyaspor 3 1 0 2 -7 3
14 Ad. Demirspor 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Goztep 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Gaziantep 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Rizespor 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Sivasspor 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Buyuksehyr 3 0 0 3 -3 0
20 Giresunspor 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Besiktas Karagumruk
14′
🟨 Erhun Oztumer
16′
🟨 Jimmy Durmaz
1–0 Alex Teixeira
30′
32′
🔁 E. Tatlı
↦ L. Biglia
Salih Uçan 🟨
36′
42′
🟨 Ervin Zukanović
Half-time 1–0
Salih Uçan 🟨
48′
Salih Uçan 🟥
48′
N. Uysal 🔁
↦ Alex Teixeira
50′
61′
🟨 Efe Tatli
71′
🔁 S. Ahmetoğlu
↦ V. Hedenstad
72′
🔁 E. Mor
↦ A. Musa
72′
🔁 S. Onur
↦ E. Öztümer
77′
🔁 B. Bekaroğlu
↦ M. Benatia
M. Topal 🔁
↦ R. Yılmaz
83′
A. Hutchinson 🔁
↦ Welinton
84′
G. Nkoudou 🔁
↦ C. Larin
88′
K. Karaman 🔁
↦ M. Batshuayi
88′
Ersin Destanoğlu 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
23 Welinton D
2 V. Rosier D
3 R. Yılmaz D
90 Alex Teixeira M
5 Josef de Souza M
8 S. Uçan M
18 R. Ghezzal M
9 M. Batshuayi F
17 C. Larin M
Bench (10)
20 N. Uysal
14 M. Topal
13 A. Hutchinson
7 G. Nkoudou
28 K. Karaman
11 G. Töre
10 O. Özyakup
50 G. Yalçın
46 S. Saatçı
34 M. Günok

Coach: S. Yalçın

Karagumruk

4-3-3
2 E. Viviano G
5 M. Benatia D
87 E. Zukanović D
26 V. Hedenstad D
29 J. Balkovec D
6 L. Biglia M
10 J. Durmaz M
11 K. Frei F
8 E. Öztümer M
72 A. Pešić F
7 A. Musa F
Bench (10)
14 E. Tatlı
27 S. Ahmetoğlu
9 E. Mor
22 S. Onur
86 B. Bekaroğlu
1 Y. Aygün
17 E. Pehlivan
20 T. Torun
24 V. Arveladze
30 S. Dursun

Coach: A. Canel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
U
4,26
B
5,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Çakιr · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.