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Premier League
Referee: M Atkinson
1–0
Full-time
Man United
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Premier League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 35%
27%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
51%
51%
Both score Ø 55%
51%
59%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 13. · Man United 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 37 28 6 3 +72 90
2 Liverpool 37 27 8 2 +66 89
3 Chelsea 37 20 11 6 +42 71
4 Tottenham 37 21 5 11 +24 68
5 Arsenal 37 21 3 13 +9 66
6 Man United 37 16 10 11 +1 58
7 West Ham 37 16 8 13 +11 56
8 Wolves 37 15 6 16 -3 51
9 Leicester 37 13 10 14 +0 49
10 Brighton 37 11 15 11 -4 48
11 Brentford 37 13 7 17 -7 46
12 Newcastle 37 12 10 15 -19 46
13 Crystal Palace 37 10 15 12 +3 45
14 Aston Villa 37 13 6 18 -1 45
15 Southampton 37 9 13 15 -21 40
16 Everton 37 11 6 20 -19 39
17 Burnley 37 7 14 16 -18 35
18 Leeds 37 8 11 18 -38 35
19 Watford 37 6 5 26 -42 23
20 Norwich 37 5 7 25 -56 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Man United
1–0 W. Zaha
37′
Will Hughes 🟨
43′
44′
🟨 Hannibal Mejbri
Half-time 1–0
59′
🟨 Diogo Dalot
62′
🔁 Mata
↦ H. Mejbri
Odsonne Édouard 🟨
63′
C. Kouyaté 🔁
↦ J. Rak-Sakyi
67′
75′
🔁 S. Shoretire
↦ Fred
E. Eze 🔁
↦ O. Édouard
79′
79′
🔁 Alejandro Garnacho
↦ Diogo Dalot
J. McArthur 🔁
↦ W. Hughes
83′
84′
🟨 Victor Lindelöf
90′
🟨 Bruno Fernandes
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-2-3-1
13 Guaita G
2 J. Ward D
17 N. Clyne D
16 J. Andersen D
3 T. Mitchell D
15 J. Schlupp M
12 W. Hughes M
23 C. Gallagher M
49 J. Rak-Sakyi M
11 W. Zaha M
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (9)
8 C. Kouyaté
10 E. Eze
18 J. McArthur
1 J. Butland
20 C. Benteke
9 J. Ayew
14 J. Mateta
4 L. Milivojević
34 M. Kelly

Coach: P. Vieira

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
27 Alex Telles D
2 V. Lindelöf D
5 H. Maguire D
20 Diogo Dalot D
17 Fred M
18 Bruno Fernandes M
39 S. McTominay M
46 H. Mejbri M
21 E. Cavani F
36 A. Elanga M
Bench (9)
8 Mata
47 S. Shoretire
75 Alejandro Garnacho
22 T. Heaton
19 R. Varane
74 Álvaro Fernández
3 E. Bailly
72 C. Savage
4 P. Jones

Coach: R. Rangnick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,10
U
3,66
B
2,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Atkinson · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.