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Premier League

Referee: Andre Marriner

Brighton

U T U S U

0–3

Full-time

Man United

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Man United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,3

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,7

This season — Premier League · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 33%

23%

42%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

42%

39%

Both score Ø 52%

55%

48%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

38% Possession 62%

8 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 15. · Man United 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	31	28	2	1	+49	86
2	Man City	31	20	3	8	+44	63
3	Leicester	31	16	7	8	+30	55
4	Chelsea	31	16	6	9	+14	54
5	Wolves	32	13	13	6	+11	52
6	Man United	31	13	10	8	+17	49
7	Tottenham	31	12	9	10	+9	45
8	Burnley	32	13	6	13	-9	45
9	Sheffield United	31	11	11	9	-1	44
10	Arsenal	31	10	13	8	+2	43
11	Crystal Palace	32	11	9	12	-9	42
12	Everton	31	11	8	12	-8	41
13	Southampton	32	12	4	16	-14	40
14	Newcastle	31	10	9	12	-13	39
15	Brighton	31	7	12	12	-7	33
16	Watford	32	6	10	16	-20	28
17	West Ham	31	7	6	18	-19	27
18	Bournemouth	31	7	6	18	-21	27
19	Aston Villa	32	7	6	19	-24	27
20	Norwich	31	5	6	20	-31	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	16	16	0	0	+32	48
2	Man City	15	11	2	2	+29	35
3	Man United	16	9	5	2	+20	32
4	Leicester	16	9	4	3	+15	31
5	Tottenham	16	9	3	4	+14	30
6	Chelsea	16	8	3	5	+8	27
7	Arsenal	15	7	5	3	+6	26
8	Everton	15	7	5	3	+4	26
9	Burnley	16	8	2	6	+2	26
10	Wolves	16	6	7	3	+5	25
11	Newcastle	16	6	7	3	+3	25
12	Sheffield United	15	7	3	5	+4	24
13	Crystal Palace	16	6	4	6	-2	22
14	Brighton	15	5	6	4	+3	21
15	Watford	16	4	6	6	-3	18
16	Aston Villa	16	5	3	8	-8	18
17	Bournemouth	15	4	5	6	-6	17
18	West Ham	15	4	3	8	-5	15
19	Norwich	16	4	3	9	-11	15
20	Southampton	16	4	2	10	-17	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	15	12	2	1	+17	38
2	Man City	16	9	1	6	+15	28
3	Chelsea	15	8	3	4	+6	27
4	Wolves	16	7	6	3	+6	27
5	Southampton	16	8	2	6	+3	26
6	Leicester	15	7	3	5	+15	24
7	Sheffield United	16	4	8	4	-5	20
8	Crystal Palace	16	5	5	6	-7	20
9	Burnley	16	5	4	7	-11	19
10	Man United	15	4	5	6	-3	17
11	Arsenal	16	3	8	5	-4	17
12	Tottenham	15	3	6	6	-5	15
13	Everton	16	4	3	9	-12	15
14	Newcastle	15	4	2	9	-16	14
15	Brighton	16	2	6	8	-10	12
16	West Ham	16	3	3	10	-14	12
17	Bournemouth	16	3	1	12	-15	10
18	Watford	16	2	4	10	-17	10
19	Aston Villa	16	2	3	11	-16	9
20	Norwich	15	1	3	11	-20	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.