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Süper Lig

Referee: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu

Fenerbahce

S S S T S

3–4

Full-time

Besiktas

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

67%

63%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,9

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 1

0 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 9

6 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Fenerbahce 3. · Besiktas 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	9	7	2	0	+16	23
2	Galatasaray	10	6	2	2	+9	20
3	Fenerbahce	9	6	2	1	+8	20
4	Kasimpasa	10	4	3	3	+3	15
5	Gaziantep	10	3	6	1	+2	15
6	Buyuksehyr	10	4	2	4	+1	14
7	Karagumruk	9	3	4	2	+6	13
8	Besiktas	8	4	1	3	-1	13
9	Konyaspor	9	3	3	3	+3	12
10	Rizespor	9	3	3	3	-2	12
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Hatayspor	7	3	3	1	-2	12
13	Trabzonspor	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Goztep	8	2	5	1	+5	11
15	Antalyaspor	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Sivasspor	8	2	3	3	-2	9
17	Erzurumspor	9	2	3	4	-4	9
18	Kayserispor	8	2	1	5	-6	7
19	Denizlispor	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Genclerbirligi	9	1	2	6	-10	5
21	Ankaragücü	8	0	2	6	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Karagumruk	5	3	2	0	+9	11
3	Kasimpasa	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Gaziantep	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Buyuksehyr	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Hatayspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Galatasaray	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Goztep	4	2	1	1	+5	7
10	Konyaspor	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Besiktas	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Rizespor	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Trabzonspor	5	2	0	3	-2	6
16	Erzurumspor	5	0	3	2	-2	3
17	Kayserispor	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Denizlispor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Genclerbirligi	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-3	1
21	Sivasspor	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Galatasaray	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Alanyaspor	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Sivasspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Gaziantep	5	1	3	1	-1	6
6	Trabzonspor	5	1	3	1	-1	6
7	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Buyuksehyr	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Erzurumspor	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Rizespor	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Konyaspor	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Goztep	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Kasimpasa	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Kayserispor	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Hatayspor	3	1	1	1	-5	4
16	Denizlispor	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Antalyaspor	5	0	3	2	-5	3
18	Genclerbirligi	5	1	0	4	-5	3
19	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	0	2	3	-6	2
21	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.