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Süper Lig

Referee: Mete Kalkavan

Alanyaspor

S S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 62%

83%

40%

Points per game

2,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

80%

40%

Points per game

2,6

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,6

1,8

Conceded

0,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

19 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alanyaspor 1. · Karagumruk 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Fenerbahce	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Galatasaray	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Karagumruk	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	Kasimpasa	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Antalyaspor	6	2	2	2	-2	8
7	Yeni Malatyaspor	6	2	2	2	-3	8
8	Goztep	6	1	4	1	+3	7
9	Erzurumspor	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sivasspor	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Gaziantep	6	1	4	1	-1	7
13	Hatayspor	4	2	1	1	-3	7
14	Konyaspor	5	1	3	1	+2	6
15	Kayserispor	5	2	0	3	-4	6
16	Rizespor	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Trabzonspor	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Denizlispor	5	1	2	2	-4	5
19	Besiktas	4	1	1	2	-2	4
20	Genclerbirligi	5	1	1	3	-3	4
21	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karagumruk	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Antalyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Kasimpasa	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Alanyaspor	2	2	0	0	+8	6
6	Hatayspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Gaziantep	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Goztep	3	1	1	1	+3	4
9	Konyaspor	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Galatasaray	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Trabzonspor	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Denizlispor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Genclerbirligi	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Besiktas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Erzurumspor	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Ankaragücü	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Sivasspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Erzurumspor	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Goztep	3	0	3	0	+0	3
7	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Kayserispor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Genclerbirligi	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Buyuksehyr	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Denizlispor	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Konyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Gaziantep	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Karagumruk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Ankaragücü	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Kasimpasa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Rizespor	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-5	1
21	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.